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Wednesday, 13 July 16
2015 VS. 2016; THE DRY BULK DEMOLITION DERBY - JOHN N. COTZIAS
 In the first half of the year 373 Bulkers and General Cargo ships were scrapped representing 23.8mil tons of dwt carrying capacity.
Comparing the first half of the year with the same period in 2015, we observe that there is an increase overall in terms of dwt and a small decrease in terms of vessels, indicating that bigger dwt vessels have been scrapped so far this year. In terms of dwt, the Capesize figure is up by 3%, the Panamax figure is up by an impressive 40% and the Handymax/Supramax and Handysize figures are up by 33% and down by 31% respectively.
The higher volume of demolition activity this year has pushed down by 3 years the average demolition age of dry bulk vessels compared to that in 2015. In 2016 so far the average age is 23.5 years, compared to 2015’s 26.5 years, and 29 years witnessed back in 2014. The average demolition age for Capes is now less than 21 years and in just two years this figure has been reduced by more than 5 years for all bulker sizes.
It is also worth noting that demolition activity in Container vessels has also firmed during this year. In the first half of 2016 the scrapping of Container Ships is up by 3 times compared to H1 2015. 79 Container vessels of 265k TEU capacity were scrapped during the first six months of the year, an overwhelming figure when compared to the 61 vessels of 136k TEU scrapped during the entire 2015.
In 2016 so far 585 vessels of all types have left the active fleet, representing 29.8mil tones effectively being removed from the "chase" of cargoes. 80% of all dwt scrapped comes from Bulkers and General Cargo ships, 13% from Containers and only 4% comes from Tankers.
In H1 2015 we had 636 ships of 27.9mil dwt across all sectors scrapped. 2015 ended with 988 ships of 40.5mil dwt removed. If the same pace continues and we follow a similar 2nd half trend as that of 2015, we estimate that with all other things being equal, i.e. freight rates remaining stable across all sectors and that during H2 scrapping activity usually slows down, we could well see 2016 ending with 850-900 vessels and 42-47mil tons being scrapped.
Given that global demand growth appears to be static, the only way to bridge the gap between supply and demand in both the Dry bulk and the Container sectors is with increased scrapping. Let’s hope that for the sake of an improved fleet balance, scrapping activity will continue at a healthy pace during the remainder of the year.
By John N. Cotzias
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 14 July 16
SHIPPING'S HALF YEAR REPORT - 'MUST DO BETTER' - CLARKSONS
It’s the time of year, with the school holidays and end of term approaching, that many pupils will nervously take home their school reports t ...
Wednesday, 13 July 16
EIA FORECASTS U.S. COAL EXPORTS TO DECLINE BY 15 MMST IN 2016 AND BY 4 MMST IN 2017
COALspot.com: U.S. coal production in June was 57 million short tons (MMst), a 6 MMst (13%) increase from May and 9 MMst (14%) lower than in June 2 ...
Tuesday, 12 July 16
DUE TO LONG HOLIDAYS, CS COAL INDICES HELD AT THE SAME LEVEL OF THE PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was flat week over week to averaging $39.98 per ton this past week.
Due to the ...
Monday, 11 July 16
COAL MARKETS SAW IMPROVED PRICES IN H1 2016 - SGX'S COMMODITIES MID-YEAR REFLECTION
COALspot.com: Coal
Coal markets saw improved prices in H1 2016 with the benchmark coking coal and thermal coal spot prices rising 18% and 25%, re ...
Monday, 11 July 16
THE MAIN SEA FREIGHT INDEX, BDI ROSE FURTHER ON 8 JULY DUE TO STRONG DEMAND FOR PANAMAX SHIPS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose this past week. The BDI was up 3.84 percent from las ...
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The University of Queensland
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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