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Wednesday, 13 July 16
2015 VS. 2016; THE DRY BULK DEMOLITION DERBY - JOHN N. COTZIAS
 In the first half of the year 373 Bulkers and General Cargo ships were scrapped representing 23.8mil tons of dwt carrying capacity.
Comparing the first half of the year with the same period in 2015, we observe that there is an increase overall in terms of dwt and a small decrease in terms of vessels, indicating that bigger dwt vessels have been scrapped so far this year. In terms of dwt, the Capesize figure is up by 3%, the Panamax figure is up by an impressive 40% and the Handymax/Supramax and Handysize figures are up by 33% and down by 31% respectively.
The higher volume of demolition activity this year has pushed down by 3 years the average demolition age of dry bulk vessels compared to that in 2015. In 2016 so far the average age is 23.5 years, compared to 2015’s 26.5 years, and 29 years witnessed back in 2014. The average demolition age for Capes is now less than 21 years and in just two years this figure has been reduced by more than 5 years for all bulker sizes.
It is also worth noting that demolition activity in Container vessels has also firmed during this year. In the first half of 2016 the scrapping of Container Ships is up by 3 times compared to H1 2015. 79 Container vessels of 265k TEU capacity were scrapped during the first six months of the year, an overwhelming figure when compared to the 61 vessels of 136k TEU scrapped during the entire 2015.
In 2016 so far 585 vessels of all types have left the active fleet, representing 29.8mil tones effectively being removed from the "chase" of cargoes. 80% of all dwt scrapped comes from Bulkers and General Cargo ships, 13% from Containers and only 4% comes from Tankers.
In H1 2015 we had 636 ships of 27.9mil dwt across all sectors scrapped. 2015 ended with 988 ships of 40.5mil dwt removed. If the same pace continues and we follow a similar 2nd half trend as that of 2015, we estimate that with all other things being equal, i.e. freight rates remaining stable across all sectors and that during H2 scrapping activity usually slows down, we could well see 2016 ending with 850-900 vessels and 42-47mil tons being scrapped.
Given that global demand growth appears to be static, the only way to bridge the gap between supply and demand in both the Dry bulk and the Container sectors is with increased scrapping. Let’s hope that for the sake of an improved fleet balance, scrapping activity will continue at a healthy pace during the remainder of the year.
By John N. Cotzias
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 28 July 16
FITCH RAISES CORPORATE OIL PRICE ASSUMPTION FOR 2016 TO USD42
Fitch Ratings has raised the 2016 oil price assumptions it uses when rating energy-sector corporates, but expects record high inventories to slow a ...
Thursday, 28 July 16
LAST WEEK ENDING UP WITH BUSIER TONES FOR SUPRAMAXES NOW COOLING DOWN - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
Last week ending up with busier tones for Supramaxes now cooling down as with index being down to 684. Average daily earnings for Supram ...
Wednesday, 27 July 16
RATES FOR THE SMALLER SIZES OVER-PERFORMED THE MARKET LAST WEEK - INTERMODAL
The decline the BDI noted last week was somewhat expected given the fact that the market has been overall firming for almost a month no ...
Wednesday, 27 July 16
GLOBAL OIL SUPPLY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN HIGHER THAN GLOBAL CONSUMPTION IN 2016 - CHRISTOPHER WHITTY
Global oil supply is expected to remain higher than global consumption in 2016, keeping oil prices at relatively low levels this summer compared wi ...
Tuesday, 26 July 16
NORTH P&I CLUB EXPLAINS HOW TO AVOID CLAIMS FOR SELF-COOKING SOYA BEANS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
North P&I Club has advised its members to be extra vigilant during loading and transport of soya beans to ensure they ...
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- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The University of Queensland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
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