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Wednesday, 13 July 16
2015 VS. 2016; THE DRY BULK DEMOLITION DERBY - JOHN N. COTZIAS
 In the first half of the year 373 Bulkers and General Cargo ships were scrapped representing 23.8mil tons of dwt carrying capacity.
Comparing the first half of the year with the same period in 2015, we observe that there is an increase overall in terms of dwt and a small decrease in terms of vessels, indicating that bigger dwt vessels have been scrapped so far this year. In terms of dwt, the Capesize figure is up by 3%, the Panamax figure is up by an impressive 40% and the Handymax/Supramax and Handysize figures are up by 33% and down by 31% respectively.
The higher volume of demolition activity this year has pushed down by 3 years the average demolition age of dry bulk vessels compared to that in 2015. In 2016 so far the average age is 23.5 years, compared to 2015’s 26.5 years, and 29 years witnessed back in 2014. The average demolition age for Capes is now less than 21 years and in just two years this figure has been reduced by more than 5 years for all bulker sizes.
It is also worth noting that demolition activity in Container vessels has also firmed during this year. In the first half of 2016 the scrapping of Container Ships is up by 3 times compared to H1 2015. 79 Container vessels of 265k TEU capacity were scrapped during the first six months of the year, an overwhelming figure when compared to the 61 vessels of 136k TEU scrapped during the entire 2015.
In 2016 so far 585 vessels of all types have left the active fleet, representing 29.8mil tones effectively being removed from the "chase" of cargoes. 80% of all dwt scrapped comes from Bulkers and General Cargo ships, 13% from Containers and only 4% comes from Tankers.
In H1 2015 we had 636 ships of 27.9mil dwt across all sectors scrapped. 2015 ended with 988 ships of 40.5mil dwt removed. If the same pace continues and we follow a similar 2nd half trend as that of 2015, we estimate that with all other things being equal, i.e. freight rates remaining stable across all sectors and that during H2 scrapping activity usually slows down, we could well see 2016 ending with 850-900 vessels and 42-47mil tons being scrapped.
Given that global demand growth appears to be static, the only way to bridge the gap between supply and demand in both the Dry bulk and the Container sectors is with increased scrapping. Let’s hope that for the sake of an improved fleet balance, scrapping activity will continue at a healthy pace during the remainder of the year.
By John N. Cotzias
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 12 September 16
THE CAPE MARKET HAS GAINS ON WEEK; THE CAPE INDEX SETTLING AT 1566 POINTS ON FRIDAY
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose and ending in a positive note this past week. The BD ...
Friday, 09 September 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT DECLINED SLIGHTLY TO 16.1 MMST, EIA SAYS
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.1 million short ton ...
Friday, 09 September 16
CAPESIZE: THE SENTIMENT IS SOLID, SAYS FEARNLEYS
Supramax
A quiet start with Labour Day celebrations in the United States leading to very little being reported from the Atlantic basin. Supramaxe ...
Thursday, 08 September 16
U.S. COAL EXPORTS IN JUNE 2016 UP 29% COMPARED TO MAY 2016, SAYS EIA
U.S. coal production in August was 71 million short tons (MMst), which is 6 MMst (9%) higher than in the previous month and 12 MMst (14%) lower tha ...
Wednesday, 07 September 16
WEEKLY MARKET (TANKER) REPORT - INTERMODAL
What goes around comes around! The Shipping industry is infamous for its seasonality and cyclicality and the tanker sector is no exception to these ...
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
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