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Monday, 11 July 16
DRY BULK MARKET: UP TO 30 MILLION DWT OF OLDER BULKERS WILL NEED TO BE SCRAPPED BY END OF 2017 FOR MARKET TO FIND BALANCE
 Tonnage oversupply in the dry bulk market is more than evident, as newbuildings have been hitting the water faster than owners can scrap their olders carriers. In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Alibra Shipping noted that 2015 saw an upswing in Capesize spot rates during the first seven months of the year, peaking in early August, rallying briefly in September and declining for the rest of the year. According to Alibra, “this would seem to correspond with scrapping activity – owners sold many capes for demolition during the first half of the year but stopped scrapping as rates rebounded – which ultimately killed the market again. Since 2016 began, some 64 Capesize bulk carriers have been sold for demolition, compared to 66 during the same period last year – almost identical”.
Of course, one could raise the question if we could see the same trend in freight rates during 2016 as well. Attempting to answer that question, Alibra noted that “demolition is only half of the story. In 2015, only 55 new Capesizes (10,999,600 dwt in total) were delivered between January 1 and July 8. During the same interval this year, however, 104 Capesizes have hit the water (20,100,627 dwt in total), some of which will be vessels that were originally scheduled for delivery in 2015. This is equivalent to net fleet growth of 2.6% since January 1”, said the shipbroker.
Alibra added that new software has shown how sensitively Capesize freight rates respond when vessels are removed from the trading fleet. According to MarineTraffic.com’s draft software, it is estimated that 37 Capesize bulk carriers (6.6m dwt in total) were laid up around the world, as of June 5. Alibra said that “this number is equivalent to 2.4% of the 1,521 Capesizes currently on the water. Most interestingly, MarineTraffic has found the number of laidup Capesizes identified by its software roughly tracks the trend shown by the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) week-by-week. The highest level of Capesize lay-ups was shown during the week commencing April 18 (week 16) this year. The BDI hit an eight-month high of 715 points just a few days later, on April 27. Rebound? An estimated 30m dwt in Capesize tonnage will have to be scrapped during 2016 and 2017 in order to offset the same volume of tonnage awaiting delivery and create a “floor” for freight rates. Research says this would result in the average age of a cape sold for demolition from the current 21 years to just 18 years. This is pretty drastic – in shortening the cash flow period, early scrapping cuts future earnings and vessel values. Is the cape market really so bad that shipowners would opt for such drastic measures?”, wondered Alibra Shipping.
Meanwhile, in the demolition market this past week, Allied Shipbroking noted that “despite a slight upward correction in price levels being offered activity has held fairly minimal compared to what we were seeing earlier in the year. The heavy monsoon rains have created a significant temporary disruption in demand, while the Ramadan has also played its part in that regard. Things should start to improve slightly over the next couple of weeks, while things are also expected to be helped from the improvements noted in the dry bulk freight market, which should in theory keep demo candidates lists fairly tight. We might see some negative effects being brought in from the strengthening of the US Dollar. This should hamper end buyers confidence slightly with regards to their appetite for speculative buying, though once activity in the Indian Sub-Continent resumes this should be fairly well countered and prices should be able to keep more buoyant that what has been seen over the past couple of weeks”.
In a separate note, shipbroker Intermodal said that “demolition prices remained stable for yet another week, while in the absence of strong competition, Indian breakers managed to snap a couple of high ldt bulkers as the Ramadan kept breakers in both Bangladesh and Pakistan on the sidelines, fact that weighed down heavily on overall subcontinent activity last week. The fact that prices have hardly moved during the last month despite the significantly softer activity, is without a doubt a positive sign and once both holidays and the monsoon season in the subcontinent come to an end there is a good chance that we will start seeing firmer bids. The fact that the supply of dry bulk candidates has also been rather moderate lately and is expected to remain as such in the following weeks, should also act as additional support for prices, while in the first half of the year dry bulk demo sales decreased by 4% in terms of number of vessels compared to H1 2015, but increased 5% in terms of dwt, which means that bigger sized bulkers have been sold for scrap in 2016 so far compared to the same period last year. Prices this week for wet tonnage were at around 165-270 $/ldt and dry units received about 145-250 $/ldt”, the shipbroker concluded.
Source: Hellenic Shipping News
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Wednesday, 10 August 16
THE INDONESIAN DRAFT NEW MINING LAW - AMENDMENTS TO THE 2009 MINING LAW
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
COALspot.com: A draft mining law published by Indonesia's Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources provides use ...
Tuesday, 09 August 16
CS50 COAL INDEX HITS NEW FIFTY-WEEKS HIGH
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin rose 1.78% week over week to averaging $41.85 per ton this past week, shows CS (i) C ...
Tuesday, 09 August 16
HARD COAL PRODUCTION AND WORLD TRADE ON THE DECLINE FOR THE FIRST TIME IN YEARS - VDKI
Hard coal production and world trade on the decline for the first time in years – not a harbinger of a global energy turnaround
Worldwid ...
Tuesday, 09 August 16
BREXIT, BRITANNIA AND THE WAVES - TREVOR CROWE, CLARKSON RESEARCH
This week, the Bank of England put into place its action plan following the UK referendum on 23rd June, which indicated the British population&rsqu ...
Monday, 08 August 16
INDONESIA'S DRAFT MINING LAW HINTS AT FUTURE REGULATORY FRAMEWORK
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
COALspot.com: A draft mining law published by Indonesia's Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources provides use ...
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
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