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Thursday, 07 July 16
CONSOLIDATION TO RULE OVER SHIPPING, AS EXECUTIVES SEEK INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN CHINA, INDIA AND EUROPE SAYS NORTON ROSE SURVEY
 The transport sector is looking to Asia Pacific as the key market for investment over the next five years, according to the seventh The way ahead Transport survey from global law firm Norton Rose Fulbright. China and India are the most popular jurisdictions for investment, followed by the US, with growth through consolidation viewed as the best investment opportunity currently. While confidence among respondents from the aviation and rail industries is high, owing to lower oil prices, the availability of funding and the impact of infrastructure improvements, the shipping industry remains the least optimistic as a result of overcapacity in many subsectors of the market.
Over half (52%) of all respondents to the Norton Rose Fulbright survey agree that a global recession poses the greatest threat to their industry. However, despite political uncertainty, most agree that the transport sector can expect to enjoy further growth over the next five years. Rising passenger numbers and freight volumes are anticipated (by 73%) and an increase in the number of routes and services is expected (52%).
Investment in technology is expected to rise, according to 67%, with low carbon technology and predictive analytics expected to represent the most significant driver of change in the transport sector over the next five years.
Infrastructure remains a key theme for the sector. After consolidation, infrastructure improvements are viewed as the best investment opportunity currently (by 19%), and infrastructure investment is seen as the most helpful form of government support (by 25%). For the aviation, rail and road industries, inadequate infrastructure is seen as the greatest challenge to the operational efficiency of their industries.
Bank debt, capital markets and private equity will represent transport businesses’ main sources of funding over the next two years, and 74% of respondents expect the availability of funds to stay the same, or even increase, over the next five years.
Harry Theochari, global head of transport at Norton Rose Fulbright, comments:
“The transport sector is continuing to look to Asia Pacific for investment opportunities, encouraged by rising demand and China’s ambitious Belt and Road initiative, a modern day silk road which will improve China’s infrastructure links with the rest of the world.
“Sentiment is high in the aviation and rail industries, buoyed by the expectation of increased passenger numbers. However, shipping continues to feel the effects of overcapacity in many markets, and an increase in enforcement actions is widely predicted, although in the longer term respondents believe conditions will improve.
“Investment in infrastructure and technology, and consolidation through both M&A and joint ventures, will be key drivers for transforming the transport sector and assisting growth.
“The adoption of new technology in particular will help to address numerous issues the sector has been grappling with in recent years, such as low carbon technology to meet increasingly stringent environmental legislation, and predictive analytics to anticipate repairs and maintenance and better understand and forecast consumer behavior.
“While respondents are most fearful of the impact of a worldwide recession, they will be watching closely the implications of the UK’s referendum result. The transport sector is international and highly regulated and any UK exit from the EU would need to take into account a number of complex issues.”
Shipping
Shipping is the least optimistic industry within the transport sector, by a significant margin. Only 15% believe that current market conditions are positive, down from 33% in 2015 and 69% in 2014.
Overcapacity is the principal reason given for this lack of optimism (66%), followed, to a lesser extent, by economic uncertainty in key markets (27%).
Respondents are more optimistic when asked to consider the outlook for shipping over the next five years. Fares and freight costs will increase according to 67% and the same proportion anticipate an upturn in passenger numbers and freight volumes. The number of routes and services offered is also expected to rise, according to 35%. However, just 22% believe that funding will become more readily available and 64% think that the number of enforcement actions will increase as lenders seek to protect their positions and recover losses. Most (68%) expect fuel costs to rise.
Investment opportunities
Much of the shipping industry (58%) continues to favour Asia Pacific for investment opportunities over the next two to five years, followed, to a far lesser extent, by Europe (16%). China (17%) and India (16%) remain the most popular markets for investment.
A merger or acquisition is seen as the optimal investment opportunity (by 34%, up from 29% in 2015), while 13% favour joint ventures, alliances and pools (down from 28% in 2015).
Respondents expect consolidation to be at the centre of shipping businesses’ strategies over the next 12 months, either in the form of M&A (22%) or joint ventures (19%), while 22% expect a focus on the disposal of non-core assets. Almost three-quarters (72%) expect investment in technology to increase over the next five years, with low carbon technology expected to have the most significant impact on the industry during this period (by 33%), followed by predictive analytics (by 24%).
Regulation
Almost half (42%) believe that greater transparency in the application and enforcement of existing and proposed regulations would be the most helpful form of government support for the shipping industry, more so than fiscal incentives (32%) or investment in infrastructure (29%). Environmental regulation is seen as the regulation that has had the greatest impact on shipping over the past decade (by 49%), followed by trade and financial sanctions (by 25%).
Supply and demand imbalances are seen as the greatest challenge to the operational efficiency of the industry (by 47%), followed by a lack of qualified people (12%) and emission controls (9%). A global recession is seen as the greatest threat to the health of shipping over the next five years (by 68%). To a lesser extent, respondents are also concerned about the impact of enforcement by creditors on debt obligations (12%) and continued political and economic uncertainty in the Eurozone (8%).
Bank debt is once again expected to act as shipping’s primary source of funding over the next two years (22%), followed by shareholder support (18%) and private equity (16%).
Despite the problem of overcapacity in many sub-sectors of the industry, fuelled by new build vessels coming on to the market, 11% think that ECA funding will be the industry’s main
source of finance.
Source: Norton Rose Fulbright | Hellenic Shipping
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Tuesday, 07 June 16
CS COAL INDEX ROSE FOR SECOND STRAIGHT WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin was up 0.38 percent week over week to averaging $39.16 per ton this past week, shows ...
Monday, 06 June 16
BDI GAINED ON A STRONGER DEMAND FOR CAPESIZE SHIPS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities rose this past week on a stronger demand for Capesize ves ...
Friday, 03 June 16
DRY BULK VESSEL DELIVERIES COULD BE LESS THAN 50 MILLION DWT IN 2016, AS OWNERS DELAY OR CANCEL NEWBUILDING ORDERS
The dry bulk market has been caught between a rock and a hard place over the course of the past couple of years, as on one hand demand has plunged, ...
Friday, 03 June 16
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION SLIDES 1.3% - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 11.5 million short tons (mm ...
Wednesday, 01 June 16
INDIA'S COAL IMPORTS IN APRIL 2016 DECLINED 15% Y/Y; COAL INDIA INCREASED COAL PRICES BY 6.2%
Coal India has approved raising weighted average coal prices by 6.2 per cent over the current price for both regulated and non-regulated sectors.
...
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
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- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
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- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
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