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Tuesday, 01 September 09
GLOBAL COAL PRICES UNDER PRESSURE AS CHINESE PROVINCE RETURNS TO THE PRODUCTION FRAY - REUTERS
China is set to return to role of coal exporter as the deadline for thousands of small coal mines in its Shanxi province to reopen after being shut in an attempt to consolidate the sector expired.
A major prop for global coal prices this year quietly expired at midnight on Monday, the deadline for small, dangerous mines in China's top producing province to merge into larger operators.
But analysts warn not to expect a quick supply filip after the Aug. 31 deadline for mines in Shanxi to join forces to be allowed to reopen, as the process of consolidation and continued pressure on the sector's appalling safety record constrains output.
Shutdowns in Shanxi earlier this year were a lucky break for coal suppliers in Australia, Indonesia and Vietnam, helping turn China into a net importer just as the global financial crisis demolished demand from other countries.
Now the province, source of 25% of China's coal, is poised to let many small mines reopen.
But a recent fatal explosion at a mine in Shanxi underlines that progress on safety is far from assured, while mines may be slow to return to normal production after the enforced mergers.
"Signing a framework agreement for a merger is much easier than actually finalising the price of the deal," said Wang Ye, an analyst at CITIC Securities. "It's easy to get engaged, but marriage is a totally different matter."
Small mines contribute roughly a third of Shanxi's coal output. For coking coal, the more valuable grade used by steelmakers, small mines contribute even more, as most coking coal resources are controlled by small mines, analysts said.
As the consolidation drive got underway after a major mine blast in late February, production from Shanxi failed to show the typical sharp recovery from the Lunar New Year holiday trough.
Output for Shanxi in the first seven months of 2009 fell by 12%, or 42 million tonnes, to 318 million tonnes -- a decline almost equal to the huge rise in imports that flipped China from a net exporter to a major net buyer of coal.
The world's top producer and consumer shipped in a net nearly 50 million tonnes of coal in the seven months to July, compared with 4.7 million tonnes of net exports in all of 2008.
"The major bullish case for thermal coal from a China perspective has been the supply constraints in Shanxi," said Scotia Capital China strategist Na Liu in a note to clients.
But with the mergers now having taken place, this bullish factor for global markets could be removed.
The shutdowns hit Shanxi hard, making it the only province to see its economy shrink in the first half of this year. That could prompt local officials to take a more lenient view of restarts at small mines, which make up 80%of the province's total.
One of China's top power producers, Huadian, expects Shanxi to produce 400 million tonnes of coal in the second half of the year, about 60% more than in the first half of the year and about 17 percent up from the same months of 2008.
If that proves accurate, Shanxi would pump enough coal into the Chinese market to deflate the appetite for imports. Liu said a third of Shanxi's output would be coking coal, so the impact would not be confined to the thermal coal market.
While the pace of output in Shanxi has been picking up since its low in January, it's not clear that this can be maintained.
"The fast growth we've seen in the past few months is not going to be sustainable," said Pierre Lau, a Citigroup analyst.
In the short term, the central government may keep a lid on further expansion before the Oct. 1 anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic of China, Lau added.
"Safety will be the focus before Oct. 1. I won't be surprised to see growth in Shanxi's coal output slow down a bit," he said.
CONSOLIDATION TO TAKE TIME
The hilly province in China's north, occupying less than 2 % of the country's territory, produced a quarter of China's coal in 2008. As well as a soot-blackened landscape and mine blasts that kill dozens or more every year, the booming coal industry has created a class of newly rich Chinese, conspicuous in their Hummers and Mercedes.
But standards have yet to show much improvement. Last week, an explosion at a mine being built in Shanxi killed 14 miners just as China launched a month of nationwide safety inspections.
"The accident will definitely affect small mines and those mines currently under construction," said an industry official in Shanxi, who expects production restrictions for the next month.
And the crackdown on small mines is not over. Shanxi still wants to cut the number from 2,600 now to 1,000 by end of 2010.
To sift out the smaller, less efficient operators, it will raise the minimum mine shaft capacity to 900,000 tonnes of coal a year, up from 360,000 tonnes today, a government document showed.
In addition, many small mines are expected to go through expansion and upgrading work, which will take as long as a year or two, Lu Ping, an analyst at China Merchants Securities, said.
"At the current stage, big companies are just carving up the province's coal resources."
Big state-owned companies including coal miners and power producers are rushing to buy the small mines. Shanxi Coal Import & Export Group and Shanxi Coal Transportation and Sales Group , which do not yet produce a tonne of coal, both have the ambition of hitting 50 million tonnes a year, local media reported.
Source:MineWeb
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Tuesday, 08 September 09
SOUTH AFRICAN COAL EXPORTS MAY RISE ON SALES TO INDIA
Bloomberg reported that, South African coal exports may rise to 100 million metric tons a year by 2020 and India may become the biggest destination ...
Monday, 07 September 09
VALE SPENT $300 MILLION AT MOZAMBIQUE COAL MINE
Bloomberg rported that, Vale SA, the world’s biggest iron- ore producer, has so far spent about $300 million of the $1.3 billion investment in ...
Monday, 07 September 09
INDIA MAY BOOST COAL IMPORTS FROM INDONESIA - PLAN JVS
WSJ reported taht, India agreed to study setting up joint ventures with Indonesian companies to acquire coal assets, and look at other means of impo ...
Monday, 07 September 09
INDIAN COAL MAY NOT POWER NEW UMPPS
The Economic Times reported that, bidders for new ultra mega power projects (UMPP) may not get assured coal supplies from domestic mines. As per the ...
Saturday, 05 September 09
THE ECI / CHINA (S7) ROUTE SOFTENED BY ALMOST 12% AND THE CHARTER HIRE WAS AT US$ 16,346 PER DAY - VISTAAR
COALspot.com (Singapore): The dry bulk market continued to be stable with the BDI almost same as last week at 2,415 points.The Panamax index went up b ...
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- White Energy Company Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PTC India Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
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