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Wednesday, 04 May 16
COAL IMPORTS: A VOLATILE MATTER OR STILL POWERING DOWN? - CLARKSONS
 Chinese coal imports decreased significantly in 2014-15, and so far in 2016 the pace of decline appears to have slowed, with imports even recording positive y-o-y growth in March. The recent improvement has partly been supported by a reduction in domestic coal supply, and increased domestic coal prices, but can this slightly more positive momentum in
Chinese imports be sustained?
Domestic Coal Dominated
Chinese seaborne coal imports started to surge back in 2009, and China rapidly became the world’s largest coal importer, with imports topping 300mt in 2013. While this volume accounted for 24% of global seaborne coal trade, it only represented 7% of China’s total coal use, with the rest accounted for by domestic supply. Growth in imports was partly driven by higher domestic coal prices, which also led to firm expansion in Chinese coal production capacity during this period.
Slow Burner?
In the last ten years China has added an average of 320mtpa of new coal production capacity. While estimated 1.1bt of less efficient capacity was removed in 2006-15 (based on available reports), total coal production capacity still registered a net increase of around 3.0bt over the last ten years. Meanwhile, in 2012 the pace of growth in Chinese coal consumption started to slow, and coal use fell 4% in both 2014 and 2015, exerting pressure on domestic coal prices and reducing the price advantage of imported coal over domestic material. This, combined with environmental measures, limited demand for imported coal, and Chinese seaborne coal imports fell sharply by 11% in 2014, and 30% in 2015 to total 188mt last year.
Supply Slice
However, the recent focus on ‘supply-side’ reform in China’s industrial sector has led to a further drop in coal production this year, with output down 3% y-o-y in the first two months of 2016. This has contributed to an increase in domestic coal prices in recent months, and seaborne coal imports in March grew y-o-y for the first time in almost two years, rising 3%, with total imports in Q1 down 6%.
Capacity Challenges
Looking ahead, China aims to cut a further 0.5-1.0bt of coal production capacity between 2016 and 2020, and has halted new coal mine approvals for the next three years. While this may help reduce total production capacity, a significant volume of the 5.7bt of capacity is current idled or producing at a slower rate. A general improvement in domestic coal prices could lead to increased production from these mines, potentially offsetting the impact of further capacity closures.
So, oversupply in the coal sector is unlikely to be resolved rapidly. The domestic coal market has improved slightly in recent months, but given that imports account for a small share of China’s coal use, the balance between domestic output and consumption is likely to lead to short-term volatility in imports. Nevertheless, with coal consumption not expected to pick up significantly in coming years, partly reflecting a greater environmental focus, for now the most likely scenario is that pressure on imports will remain into the longer-term.
Source: Clarksons
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Tuesday, 26 April 16
INDONESIA BANNED COAL EXPORTS TO PHILIPPINES BY BARGES DUE TO SECURITY CONCERN
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) on behalf of the government of Indonesia has Freeze coal exports by barges to Phi ...
Tuesday, 26 April 16
NEWBUILDING DEMAND DOWN EVERYWHERE? - CLARKSONS
Newbuild activity provides one indication of an owner country’s likely future fleet growth, though secondhand sale and purchase and demolitio ...
Monday, 25 April 16
CHINESE STEEL PRICE SURGE NOT SUSTAINABLE - FITCH
The rapid increase in Chinese steel prices so far this year is not sustainable, as it is largely due to a seasonal pick-up in construction and elev ...
Monday, 25 April 16
WEEKLY CS (I) COAL INDICES END ALMOST FLAT
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin up 0.05 percent week over week to averaging $38.67 per ton on this past Friday, acco ...
Monday, 25 April 16
BALTIC DRY INDEX ENDS WEEK ON A POSITIVE NOTE
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities continued to rose this week.
The freight market was ...
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- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- White Energy Company Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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