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Monday, 25 April 16
CHINESE STEEL PRICE SURGE NOT SUSTAINABLE - FITCH
 The rapid increase in Chinese steel prices so far this year is not sustainable, as it is largely due to a seasonal pick-up in construction and elevated speculation in the steel futures market, says Fitch Ratings. Fitch expects supply of steel to increase as rising prices lead to capacity resumption, but without a sustainable rise in demand. This will put significant pressure on steel prices in the near term.
According to Fitch, the Chinese steel product prices have increased over 60% year to date. For instance, prices for hot-rolled steel - one of the most widely traded products - increased to CNY3,229 per tonne from CNY1,994 per tonne at the beginning of 2016. Fitch believes the price surge is mostly driven by a seasonal pick-up in fixed-asset investment activity from a low base in the first two months of 2016. This is exacerbated by increased speculation in the steel futures market, driven by liquidity in the financial system.
On the demand side, Fitch said, fixed-asset investment was up 10.7% yoy in 1Q16. Of this, infrastructure was up 19.6% and property 6.2%. Infrastructure investment growth was in line with Fitch's expectations and the usual spurt following the Chinese New Year holidays. However, the pick-up in property investment came earlier than expected. Fitch did not anticipate an increase until 2H16, from a low base in the previous year. Overall, Fitch does not foresee a strong increase in steel demand during 2016 and expects overall fixed-asset investment growth to remain at around 10%, a similar level to 2015.
On the supply side, Fitch commented that, average daily crude steel production was lower in January and February 2016, at around 2.02 million tonnes, compared to 2.21 million tonnes in 2015. Production fell significantly at the end of 2015 due to low steel prices. The total capacity suspended (capacity that is partially in operation or mostly non-operating) in 2015 amounted to around 60 million tonnes, of which only an estimated 15 million tonnes to 17 million tonnes was permanently shut-down and eliminated from the market. With prices now surging, many of the suspended plants have resumed production. This was partially reflected in March 2016 production figures, where daily crude steel production rose to 2.28 million tonnes, up 12.9% compared to January and February 2016.
Fitch expects production to increase further in April, as the suspended furnaces are fired up. This, together with weak demand growth for steel in 2016, is likely to soon result in declining steel prices.
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Wednesday, 15 October 14
NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 13.96 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN SEPTEMBER; UP 5.72%
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port, has shipped $1,227.7 wor ...
Tuesday, 14 October 14
KING COAL UNDER ATTACK? - EVA TZIMA
With the last quarter of the year being well underway and with no strong signs that the Dry Bulk market could be ready for a big positive reversal, ...
Tuesday, 14 October 14
THE NEW CHINESE TRANSPORTATION TAX LAW: WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR GREEK SHIPPING? - DELOITTE
China has recently promulgated a new law which imposes tax on profits from freights of inbound routes. The objective of the new tax law titled &ldq ...
Monday, 13 October 14
CHINESE COAL IMPORT TARIFFS YET ANOTHER BLOW TO AUSTRALIAN COAL EXPORTS - TIM BUCKLEY
COALspot.com: China’s unexpected move to reintroduce thermal coal import tariffs of 6% will have a materially negative impact on the viabilit ...
Monday, 13 October 14
NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 54.92, SGX DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for delivery Q4' 2014 decreased US$ 0.80 (-1.46%) month over month and US$ 0.52 (-0.95%) week over ...
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- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
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