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Monday, 25 April 16
CHINESE STEEL PRICE SURGE NOT SUSTAINABLE - FITCH
 The rapid increase in Chinese steel prices so far this year is not sustainable, as it is largely due to a seasonal pick-up in construction and elevated speculation in the steel futures market, says Fitch Ratings. Fitch expects supply of steel to increase as rising prices lead to capacity resumption, but without a sustainable rise in demand. This will put significant pressure on steel prices in the near term.
According to Fitch, the Chinese steel product prices have increased over 60% year to date. For instance, prices for hot-rolled steel - one of the most widely traded products - increased to CNY3,229 per tonne from CNY1,994 per tonne at the beginning of 2016. Fitch believes the price surge is mostly driven by a seasonal pick-up in fixed-asset investment activity from a low base in the first two months of 2016. This is exacerbated by increased speculation in the steel futures market, driven by liquidity in the financial system.
On the demand side, Fitch said, fixed-asset investment was up 10.7% yoy in 1Q16. Of this, infrastructure was up 19.6% and property 6.2%. Infrastructure investment growth was in line with Fitch's expectations and the usual spurt following the Chinese New Year holidays. However, the pick-up in property investment came earlier than expected. Fitch did not anticipate an increase until 2H16, from a low base in the previous year. Overall, Fitch does not foresee a strong increase in steel demand during 2016 and expects overall fixed-asset investment growth to remain at around 10%, a similar level to 2015.
On the supply side, Fitch commented that, average daily crude steel production was lower in January and February 2016, at around 2.02 million tonnes, compared to 2.21 million tonnes in 2015. Production fell significantly at the end of 2015 due to low steel prices. The total capacity suspended (capacity that is partially in operation or mostly non-operating) in 2015 amounted to around 60 million tonnes, of which only an estimated 15 million tonnes to 17 million tonnes was permanently shut-down and eliminated from the market. With prices now surging, many of the suspended plants have resumed production. This was partially reflected in March 2016 production figures, where daily crude steel production rose to 2.28 million tonnes, up 12.9% compared to January and February 2016.
Fitch expects production to increase further in April, as the suspended furnaces are fired up. This, together with weak demand growth for steel in 2016, is likely to soon result in declining steel prices.
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Monday, 08 June 15
SHIPPING FLEET GROWTH HAS STARTED TO SLOW DOWN, AS NEWBUILDINGS AMOUNT TO JUST 329 SHIPS OF ALL TYPES SINCE THE START OF 2015 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Challenging market conditions have led to the inevitable reconsideration of ship owners’ priorities. Uncertainty has been the norm over the p ...
Monday, 08 June 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS ADVANCED M-O-M AND W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery increased US$ 0.65 per MT (1.44%) month over month to US$ 45.65 per mt. The ...
Monday, 08 June 15
Q3'15 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP ADVANCED 3.51% TO $52.48 PMT THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 1.78 (3.51%) per MT month over month.
A commodity swap is a ...
Sunday, 07 June 15
PANAMAX INDEX ROSE OVER 13% THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market was up on all segments this past week. The BDI was advanced 3.56% and closed at 610 points. The Cape Index was cli ...
Friday, 05 June 15
U.S PRODUCED 15.1 MMST OF COAL THIS PAST WEEK; LESS 20.7% COMPARED TO SAME PERIOD IN 2014
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.1 million shor ...
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- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Minerals Council of Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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