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Monday, 25 April 16
CHINESE STEEL PRICE SURGE NOT SUSTAINABLE - FITCH
 The rapid increase in Chinese steel prices so far this year is not sustainable, as it is largely due to a seasonal pick-up in construction and elevated speculation in the steel futures market, says Fitch Ratings. Fitch expects supply of steel to increase as rising prices lead to capacity resumption, but without a sustainable rise in demand. This will put significant pressure on steel prices in the near term.
According to Fitch, the Chinese steel product prices have increased over 60% year to date. For instance, prices for hot-rolled steel - one of the most widely traded products - increased to CNY3,229 per tonne from CNY1,994 per tonne at the beginning of 2016. Fitch believes the price surge is mostly driven by a seasonal pick-up in fixed-asset investment activity from a low base in the first two months of 2016. This is exacerbated by increased speculation in the steel futures market, driven by liquidity in the financial system.
On the demand side, Fitch said, fixed-asset investment was up 10.7% yoy in 1Q16. Of this, infrastructure was up 19.6% and property 6.2%. Infrastructure investment growth was in line with Fitch's expectations and the usual spurt following the Chinese New Year holidays. However, the pick-up in property investment came earlier than expected. Fitch did not anticipate an increase until 2H16, from a low base in the previous year. Overall, Fitch does not foresee a strong increase in steel demand during 2016 and expects overall fixed-asset investment growth to remain at around 10%, a similar level to 2015.
On the supply side, Fitch commented that, average daily crude steel production was lower in January and February 2016, at around 2.02 million tonnes, compared to 2.21 million tonnes in 2015. Production fell significantly at the end of 2015 due to low steel prices. The total capacity suspended (capacity that is partially in operation or mostly non-operating) in 2015 amounted to around 60 million tonnes, of which only an estimated 15 million tonnes to 17 million tonnes was permanently shut-down and eliminated from the market. With prices now surging, many of the suspended plants have resumed production. This was partially reflected in March 2016 production figures, where daily crude steel production rose to 2.28 million tonnes, up 12.9% compared to January and February 2016.
Fitch expects production to increase further in April, as the suspended furnaces are fired up. This, together with weak demand growth for steel in 2016, is likely to soon result in declining steel prices.
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Wednesday, 21 October 15
MARKET INSIGHT - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
In today’s dry bulk market, both freight rates and asset prices are creating mixed feelings to seasoned ship owners, who tend to instinctivel ...
Wednesday, 21 October 15
INDONESIAN COAL MINER BUKIT ASAM POSTS POSITIVE PERFORMANCE DURING FIRST THREE QUARTERS OF 2015
COALspot.com: Indonesian publicly listed and state controlled coal miner PT. Bukit Asam has announced that, the company’s coal sales up 8 per ...
Wednesday, 21 October 15
LOWER DEMAND HIT Q1' 16 INDONESIA COAL SWAPS
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q4 2015 declined month on month and week over week.
The Q4 swap declined $ 1.88 (-4.71%) per t ...
Tuesday, 20 October 15
SHIPBROKER SEES CAPESIZE RATES EASILY REACHING $25,000/DAY BY YEAR-END : NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The future course of the dry bulk market has been troubling market participants for quite some time now, as the “elusive” freight rate ...
Tuesday, 20 October 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS SINK INTO RED THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q4' 2015 declined week over week and month over month.
The Q4 swap was down US$ ...
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PTC India Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Planning Commission, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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