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Monday, 25 April 16
CHINESE STEEL PRICE SURGE NOT SUSTAINABLE - FITCH
 The rapid increase in Chinese steel prices so far this year is not sustainable, as it is largely due to a seasonal pick-up in construction and elevated speculation in the steel futures market, says Fitch Ratings. Fitch expects supply of steel to increase as rising prices lead to capacity resumption, but without a sustainable rise in demand. This will put significant pressure on steel prices in the near term.
According to Fitch, the Chinese steel product prices have increased over 60% year to date. For instance, prices for hot-rolled steel - one of the most widely traded products - increased to CNY3,229 per tonne from CNY1,994 per tonne at the beginning of 2016. Fitch believes the price surge is mostly driven by a seasonal pick-up in fixed-asset investment activity from a low base in the first two months of 2016. This is exacerbated by increased speculation in the steel futures market, driven by liquidity in the financial system.
On the demand side, Fitch said, fixed-asset investment was up 10.7% yoy in 1Q16. Of this, infrastructure was up 19.6% and property 6.2%. Infrastructure investment growth was in line with Fitch's expectations and the usual spurt following the Chinese New Year holidays. However, the pick-up in property investment came earlier than expected. Fitch did not anticipate an increase until 2H16, from a low base in the previous year. Overall, Fitch does not foresee a strong increase in steel demand during 2016 and expects overall fixed-asset investment growth to remain at around 10%, a similar level to 2015.
On the supply side, Fitch commented that, average daily crude steel production was lower in January and February 2016, at around 2.02 million tonnes, compared to 2.21 million tonnes in 2015. Production fell significantly at the end of 2015 due to low steel prices. The total capacity suspended (capacity that is partially in operation or mostly non-operating) in 2015 amounted to around 60 million tonnes, of which only an estimated 15 million tonnes to 17 million tonnes was permanently shut-down and eliminated from the market. With prices now surging, many of the suspended plants have resumed production. This was partially reflected in March 2016 production figures, where daily crude steel production rose to 2.28 million tonnes, up 12.9% compared to January and February 2016.
Fitch expects production to increase further in April, as the suspended furnaces are fired up. This, together with weak demand growth for steel in 2016, is likely to soon result in declining steel prices.
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Monday, 23 November 15
NEGATIVE 2016 OUTLOOK FOR WESTERN EUROPEAN STEEL - SAYS FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: European steel in 2016 are both negative for the sector and for issuer ratings.
This reflects our expectation that import levels ...
Monday, 23 November 15
DRY BULK MARKET: NET FLEET GROWTH IS SLOWING DOWN, AS SHIP OWNERS ARE LOOKING FOR WAYS TO ALLEVIATING MARKET MELTDOWN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been in “meltdown” mode for a few weeks now, unable to find support and avoid the fall in historical lows. As s ...
Monday, 23 November 15
CS50 COAL INDEX CLOSED AT $40.27 PER TON; FELL 0.15% FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The 5700 GAR CS (i) coal index fell by US cents 3 per ton week over week on 20 November 2015. CS 57 (5700 GAR coal) index closed at U ...
Monday, 23 November 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FALL FURTHER ON LOW DEMAND
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery declined US$ 6.75 (13.99%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swa ...
Sunday, 22 November 15
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT RATES TO REMAIN DULL NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was down to historical lows closing at 498 points which is down by almost 95.77 per cent compared to 11,800 points in 2008.
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- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Planning Commission, India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
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