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Wednesday, 20 April 16
2017 IS EXPECTED TO BE A MUCH BETTER YEAR FOR THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY - INTERMODAL
 Some months ago we noted that all projections anticipated 2016 to be a better year from a macroeconomic point of view when compared to 2015. As we leave behind q1, evidence suggests that there are increasing chances that this is not going to be the case, with projections for global growth once again being revised downwards.
The latest estimate by the International Monetary Fund in April projects a modest 3.2% global growth for this year, 0.2% down from the January projection and just 0.1% higher that the estimated global growth for 2015. Once again the biggest part of this year’s world growth will come from the emerging economies, although they are not expected to grow at a much faster pace than they did in the year before with the economic slowdown in China and the weak growth both in oil and non-oil commodity exporters having their effect on the final projection estimates.
Moreover, the presence of several additional risks like further incidents of financial turbulence or a larger than anticipated adverse effect of lower oil prices on oil exporting countries and various other geopolitical risks including a possible Brexit, increase uncertainty over future economic developments and may lead to the realization of even weaker growth scenarios before the world economy picks up at a projected 3.5% growth in 2017.
With regards to global trade, which is of prime importance to the shipping industry, the latest evidence provided by the OECD suggests that its growth rate for 2016 will be weak along the projections for global growth. Overall things in the global economy draw a not very promising picture for the Dry Bulk sector in 2016 and despite the fact that during the last couple weeks we have moved away from the historically low levels we witnessed during the last part of 2105 and the first months of this year, things in the sector remain shaky as falling demand and weak growth prospects occur on the back of excess tonnage supply.
Given that things continue to steadily improve, 2017 is expected to be a much better year for the sector and the shipping industry overall. Saying that, we should all be patient and cautious as we have just left q1 and three more quarters are on their way before this year concludes.
By Vassilis Logothetis
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 09 March 16
U.S. COAL EXPORTS DECLINED 24% (74 MMST) IN 2015; COAL PRODUCTION IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE BY 111 MMST IN 2016 - EIA
U.S. Coal Supply
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production for February 2016 was 54 million short tons (MMst), a 4 MMst (7%) decrease from the prev ...
Wednesday, 09 March 16
RI MAY HAVE TO IMPORT COAL FOR FUTURE POWER PLANTS: STUDY - THE JAKARTA POST
With coal prices continuing to decline, Indonesia will struggle to provide the coal needed to fire up its power stations in the near future, a stud ...
Tuesday, 08 March 16
INDONESIA HIKES COAL BENCHMARK PRICE FOR THE FIRST TIME IN 12 MONTHS
COALspot.com: Low coal demand and excess supplies sent Indonesian benchmark coal price further deep in February 2016, but up slightly in Mar ...
Tuesday, 08 March 16
THE DRY CARGO MARKET ENDURED ONE OF ITS MOST DIFFICULT YEARS IN 2015, EXPERIENCING LOWS NOT SEEN SINCE THE MID 1980S - CLARKSONS
Whilst shipping and offshore markets have seen some good opportunities during 2015, overall there have been unprecedented challenges, so we are ver ...
Monday, 07 March 16
INDONESIAN 5700 GAR COAL INDEX DECLINE $0.05 A TON WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin decline 0.28 percent week over week to averaging $38.66 per ton on this past Friday, ...
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- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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