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Thursday, 14 April 16
DRY BULKERS' PRICES COULD BE HEADING UPWARDS AS BUYERS' APPETITE INCREASES - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 Investment sentiment is beginning to trend upwards in the market for second hand dry bulk carriers. According to the latest weekly report from shipbroker Allied Shipbroking, “mixed messages coming out of the secondhand dry bulk market this past week, with buyers and sellers seemingly split into two distinct camps, as the freight market gains momentum though still lacks to reach freight levels that can be considered long-term sustainable against the average OPEX levels noted in the market. On the back of all this, rumors had started to circulate that we had begun to see deals being concluded at slightly firmer prices compared to similar tonnage concluded a few weeks prior”.
According to Mr. George Lazaridis, Allied’s Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations, “the truth is that there has been increased resistance noted amongst sellers these past couple of weeks, while some buyers are expressing the opinion that the market is starting to turn, something that can to some extent be reflected by the fact that there has been a considerably increase in the number of active buyers taking on vessel inspections, a fact that on its own could drive prices up once again as competition amongst them heightens. Expectations have long been that we would see a recovery in secondhand asset prices long before earnings reach any sense of “lucrative”. This has mainly been in part due to the fact that given prices have reached well below anything seen during the past 25 years or more, there have been many in angst to take up buying options, feeling that there is a significant potential in asset price gains to be made once the market rebalances. The buy low – sell high strategy has always been a major part of the strategy composed by most Greek buyers as well as prominent shipowners around the world. As such there have been a growing number of suiters waiting in the background hoping to strike at the point where they believe would be the absolute bottoming of the market”.
Allied’s analyst also noted that “this distressed asset purchasing strategy has occurred several times in the past, sometimes to disappointing result (as an example one may look at the buying spree that took place during 2013), with even prominent distressed debt investors misjudging the downturn and as a consequence acting on prices which would later prove to be at considerable underestimates as to how low freight rates and prices could go. Sure it seems now as if prices and rates have been squeezed to their lowest if not fairly close to their lowest possible levels and even so, the given the past mismatched timing and more dire freight market conditions has led most buyers to take a more cautionary view up until now. It does feel however that we may well be close to the turning point in buyers sentiment, while it will only take a few in number to hastily pull the trigger in outbidding their competition with considerable premiums on last done, to eventual drive the rest of the buyers currently in the market into a buying frenzy and driving a rally (even a small one) out of their fear that they may have “missed the market buying opportunity” and have been left behind”.
According to Lazaridis, “there are other factors as well that will surely play their role during the current market. Recent trends in FOREX movements have supported the resistance provided by sellers at these price levels, while given the fact that earnings have shown a fairly good improvement over the past couple of weeks most sellers will be entering any negotiation with a completely different sentiment as to what their counterparts had done a month back. As a final note, it will be interesting to see if this upward pressure materialises in full and if it does, how well it will be able to feed a positive upward momentum under low freight market conditions and more specifically during courses in the year which are typically seasonal lows in the freight market, he concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 24 November 14
CHOPPY WATERS IN DRY BULK - SGX
COALspot.com: Dry bulk freight rates have experienced a sharp rise in volatility in recent weeks as bulk commodity supply has ramped up, said SGX i ...
Monday, 24 November 14
Q1 2015 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 52.73
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery closed at US$ 52.73 on 21 November after losing US$ 0.40 (-0.75%) month ove ...
Monday, 24 November 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL: Q2' 15 COAL SWAPS CLOSED LOWER COMPARED TO Q1' 15 SWAPS
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 0.63 (-0.99%) month over month and US$ 0.12 (-0.19%) da ...
Sunday, 23 November 14
SPOT FREIGHT RATES IMPROVED SLIGHTLY OVER PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was up 5.41 pct week on week and closed at 1,324 points on Friday. All the segments were up this week except Panamax index.&n ...
Sunday, 23 November 14
ITALY'S STEAM COAL IMPORTS TO DROP BY 11% IN 2014 - ASSOCARBONI
COALspot.com: Italy’s steam coal imports expected to drop to 16 million tons in 2014 (-11% compared to 2013); coking coal imports to plunge t ...
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