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Wednesday, 30 March 16
VALEMAXES: THE BIGGEST NIGHTMARE OF TODAY'S DRY BULK MARKET - INTERMODAL
 At a time that Europe is still dealing with the aftermath of the terrorist attacks in Brussels our society is daily bombarded with news of terrorist-related acts in every corner of the world. While it is by no means the purpose of this column to cover such issues, it is hard to ignore the effects of such events upon our societies or the uncertainty they enforce upon the world economy –including shipping- that still fights with its own nightmares.
Let’s take the Valemaxes for example; the biggest nightmare of today’s dry bulk market.
At a time that sentiment and hard facts could not look any dimmer, it is with extreme numbness that markets received the news that Chinese shipping majors Cosco Group, China Merchants Group and ICBC Financial Leasing Co. have placed orders for 30 giant Valemax vessels that worth a combined $2.5 billion. The exact number of vessels on order varies according to different reports and whilst deliveries look set to commence in 2018, no one knows the exact schedule that has been agreed with the 4 Chinese yards that have agreed to undertake this ambitious project.
If we are to state the obvious, there is no denying that such move –originally designed to increase China’s grip on the supply side of iron ore- would put further pressure on independent shipowners amidst one of the longest ever downturns ever witnessed on the dry sector. However, instead over-dramatizing the situation let’s start looking for a silver lining in this mighty dark cloud...
Regardless of regulations about Tier III, WBTS and other emission regulations coming into forces, which surely have been accounted for into cost calculations, Vale and their partners should be taking into consideration that scrapping age for capes has already approached the 15year mark. If we assume a moderate renewal plan in place for the “overage” VLOC’s as well, then the table above will indicate that situation might not drastically worsen by the gradual introduction of VLOC’s over the next 3 years.
On the other hand, demand for coal and coal transportation –to be more specific- is on a negative trail and the importance of iron ore as a cargo is becoming integral to all cape owners/operators; hence, we expect the fight to be even harder between Capes and VLOC’s. Should Vale and their Chinese counterparts expect to see some sense out of this market, they should first ensure that scrapping intensifies and they stay true to the one principle that we need to hold for the next 3 years; NEGATIVE fleet growth.
By Christos Trageas
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 31 March 16
CAPE: ANOTHER UNEVENTFUL WEEK WITH FIXTURES CONCLUDED AT LAST DONE LEVELS - FEARNLEYS
Cape
Another uneventful week with fixtures concluded at last done levels, CS levels remain around the USD 3 mark, whilst C3 is still just short o ...
Wednesday, 30 March 16
MINISTRY OF ENERGY AND MINERAL RESOURCES OF INDONESIA TO REVISE METHODOLOGY TO DETERMINE THE SELLING PRICE OF COAL TO MINE-MOUTH POWER PLANTS
COALspot.com: Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) of Indonesia to review to revise methodology to determine the selling price of co ...
Tuesday, 29 March 16
BULK CARRIER VENTILATION - CAPTAIN PAUL R. WALTON
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Moisture damage is a source of many cargo claims. Claimants allege that it is brought about by the ship’s failure t ...
Monday, 28 March 16
INDONESIAN WEEKLY CS50 COAL INDEX CLOSED SLIGHTLY FIRM; CS 57 INDEX CLOSED WEAK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin rose 0.03 percent week over week to averaging $38.91 per ton on this past Thursday, ...
Monday, 28 March 16
THE SUPRAMAX INDEX WAS UP TWENTY-FOUR POINTS TO 473 POINTS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities continued to rose this week.
The freight market was ...
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- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- White Energy Company Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
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