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Thursday, 17 March 16
THE PANAMAX MARKET SEEMS TO BE A BIT TOPPISH THIS WEEK - FEARNLEYS
FearnleysCape
There are challenging days with rates or less unchanged from last week; West Australia to China still below US$ 3 pmt, and Tuarao to China in the upper 5s. In the Atlantic, the need for more cargoes is desperate, Fearnleys says in its latest weekly report.

Panamax
On commenting on Panamax sector, Fearnleys noted that, the Panamax market seems to be a bit toppish this week. The latest increase in rates has been led by elevated volumes and levels from the coming ECSA grain season. A good portion of the fleet is in ballast towards the grain ports, but charterers are holding back on 2nd half April stem to supress the recent rise.

Fearnleys further noted that, FFA's have dropped below 5k for the remainder of the year, which in turn will put pressure on the period market. On another note, we see bunker prices increasing and this will put pressure on the period market. On another note, we see bunker prices increasing and this will not most likely lead to higher USD/mt rates. TA's are now paying excess 3.5k and still a nice premium for breach in INL cargo in Baltic at US$ 4.5- 5k. In the Pacific, rounds are being fixed at mid/high 4k.

Supramax
Supra rates have improved somewhat, says Fearnleys. Vessels are achieving US$ 5000's trips with delivery in South East Asia. In the Atlantic, the rates from South America are firmer, with cargo to Europe commanding about US$ 7000 for the leg. Front haul candidates achieve about US$ 8000 with a 70-80k ballast bonus.

Grain from the USG is about on par with South Africa, but forward business is heavily discounted, and we are not aware why this is, but it shows a lack of confidence in the market. Period is generally inactive as the availability of spot tonnage does not justify paying a premium to secure period cover.


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