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Wednesday, 16 March 16
OIL SUPPLY OUTPACES DEMAND ON ANY GIVEN DAY, AND BILLIONS OF BARRELS OF OIL ARE BEING STORED RATHER THAN CONSUMED - CHRISTOPHER
 Oil producers have turned to the concept of limiting their output to January levels as a certain form of action to boost prices that have fallen more than 70% since the middle of 2014. Oil supply outpaces demand on any given day, and billions of barrels of oil are being stored rather than consumed. As a result, oil prices have collapsed to as low as $26 per barrel in February, from well over $100 in 2014.
It is interesting that currently, Iran and Iraq both play an important role in the contemplated production freeze. Iran has already been increasing production and the country’s position is that it would consider oil-production caps only after the country’s output rises back to the levels before the West imposed sanctions over its nuclear program.
Basically Iran wants to increase production now, in an attempt to revive their share in the global markets, before they even consider discussing about participating in an output freeze. Iraq also has a longstanding policy of seeking to raise production regardless of the price-stabilizing policies of the OPEC.
Russia said that OPEC’s meeting with other key oil producers regarding an output freeze will probably be held in Doha, Qatar in April. They said that Iran supports the plan, while Tehran says it wants to double its crude exports to 4 million bpd first.
However, in reality according to the latest oil market data, both Russia and Saudi Arabia ramped up their oil production in February, despite talks about supply caps. Russian oil supply reached a new high of 11.08 million barrels a day in February, and Saudi Arabia during the same month increased its daily output by 14,000 barrels, to 10.14 million barrels per day, according to OPEC's analysis of market sources.
Generally speaking, countries are less willing to freeze and especially to cut production, because doing so means giving up market share for their oil, which might be hard to win back especially during this transition period. The four major oil powers, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Venezuela and Qatar, are heavily involved in the various discussions and the coordinated efforts will probably include soon also non OPEC countries such as Oman, Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan.
Assuming all are on board, the oil glut could begin to ease, particularly with American output on the decline. Or at least that is what they anticipate with this concept.
The fact is that a two million barrel-per-day surplus in oil supplies will continue to weigh on prices in the short term and even if these countries freeze output, they would still need more drastic efforts to support prices in the long term.
From my own perspective, it looks like their ultimate goal is to reach a certain consensus and, if they actually get there, I would expect them to quickly focus on actually reducing production in the long term. In any case, analysts estimate that maintaining production at current levels will probably not have a significant effect on prices.
Christopher Thomas Whitty
Marketing Manager - Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 29 February 16
BALTIC INDEX INCHES UP THIS PAST WEEK AS SMALLER VESSELS LEND SUPPORT
COALspot.com: The freight markets rose slightly this past week.
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) of dry-bulk shipping freights, a measure of global ...
Monday, 29 February 16
LOSS OF EARNINGS IN THE WAKE OF A COLLISION - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
A shipowner’s loss of earnings can form a significant part of a collision claim. Awareness of the ways of calculati ...
Friday, 26 February 16
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION UP SLIGHTLY
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 13.4 million shor ...
Thursday, 25 February 16
DRY BULKERS ARE SCRAPPED AT RECORD PACE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The newbuilding market is at a lull these days, as ship owners are focusing on two fronts, getting rid of excess dry bulk tonnage and snapping up b ...
Wednesday, 24 February 16
HOW IS THE FUEL MIX FOR U.S. ELECTRICITY GENERATION CHANGING? - EIA
In recent years, there have been changes in the mix of fuels used to generate electricity in the United States. Natural gas and renewable energy so ...
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- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The University of Queensland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
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