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Thursday, 03 March 16
INDIA'S BUDGET NOT ENOUGH TO BOOST STEELMAKERS' PROFITABILITY - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings says that increase in proposed infrastructure spending in India's latest government budget is unlikely to provide a boost to domestic steel demand growth, unless project execution rates pick up significantly. Domestic steel producers also face overcapacity, which is likely to weigh on their profitability and credit metrics in the near term.

The budget plans to increase capex on infrastructure (roads, railways and shipping) in the financial year ending March 2017 (FY17) by 23% to INR2.3trn. For FY16, the government had budgeted for infrastructure investment to double from actual spending in FY15. However, except for a pick-up in road construction (up 36% yoy in 1HFY16), project implementation appears to have been weak so far in FY16.

Private-sector investment has also remained weak, given the stretched corporate balance sheets. As a result, steel demand growth in India has remained soft at 4.7% yoy in 9MFY16. We expect steel demand growth to improve slightly to 7%-8% in FY17, supported by a pick-up in government infrastructure spending with better project execution.

However, the steel industry is burdened by overcapacity. Domestic capacity is scheduled to jump by about 15 million tonnes over the 2HFY16-FY17 period, which will exceed a potential 6 million tonne increase in domestic steel demand in FY17. At the same time, global supply continues to outstrip demand. Given the supply-demand growth mismatch, producers are likely to engage in price competition amid weak utilisation levels. Therefore, a recovery in sales realisation and profitability for Indian steelmakers is unlikely before FY18.


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Tuesday, 26 January 16
OUTLOOK FOR GLOBAL OIL MARKETS - OPEC SECRETARY GENERAL
Opening address by HE Abdalla S. El-Badri, OPEC Secretary General, at the Chatham House Conference: Middle East and North Africa Energy 2016, Theme ...


Monday, 25 January 16
5700 GAR COAL INDEX CLOSED $ 50.08 PER TON, $0.20 LOWER FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin decline 1.35 percent week over week to averaging $39.39 per ton on this past Friday, ...


Monday, 25 January 16
SHOULD A DEFAULTING PARTY BE ENTITLED TO AN INNOCENT PARTY'S SAVING, FOLLOWING THEIR BREACH OF CONTRACT? - THE NEW FLAMENCO REVISITED
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE This case was addressed by the club in our of January 2015, when the High Court decision became available. The background ...


Monday, 25 January 16
DRY BULK SHIPPING: A MISERABLE START TO A NEW YEAR, WHERE THE MARKET STRUGGLES TO GROW AT ALL - BIMCO
The global production of steel dropped in 2015 compared to 2014, to a larger extent outside China, as China exported its surplus of steel to destin ...


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PANAMAX MARKET WEAKENS ACROSS THE BOARD
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