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Thursday, 03 March 16
INDIA'S BUDGET NOT ENOUGH TO BOOST STEELMAKERS' PROFITABILITY - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings says that increase in proposed infrastructure spending in India's latest government budget is unlikely to provide a boost to domestic steel demand growth, unless project execution rates pick up significantly. Domestic steel producers also face overcapacity, which is likely to weigh on their profitability and credit metrics in the near term.

The budget plans to increase capex on infrastructure (roads, railways and shipping) in the financial year ending March 2017 (FY17) by 23% to INR2.3trn. For FY16, the government had budgeted for infrastructure investment to double from actual spending in FY15. However, except for a pick-up in road construction (up 36% yoy in 1HFY16), project implementation appears to have been weak so far in FY16.

Private-sector investment has also remained weak, given the stretched corporate balance sheets. As a result, steel demand growth in India has remained soft at 4.7% yoy in 9MFY16. We expect steel demand growth to improve slightly to 7%-8% in FY17, supported by a pick-up in government infrastructure spending with better project execution.

However, the steel industry is burdened by overcapacity. Domestic capacity is scheduled to jump by about 15 million tonnes over the 2HFY16-FY17 period, which will exceed a potential 6 million tonne increase in domestic steel demand in FY17. At the same time, global supply continues to outstrip demand. Given the supply-demand growth mismatch, producers are likely to engage in price competition amid weak utilisation levels. Therefore, a recovery in sales realisation and profitability for Indian steelmakers is unlikely before FY18.


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Monday, 08 February 16
DRY-BULK SHIPPING DIVING DEEP
COALspot.com: The freight markets continued to fall this past week. The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) of dry-bulk shipping freights, a measure of glo ...


Monday, 08 February 16
DRY BULK: SHIPBROKER SEES BDI MARKET REACHING LOW POINT OF 236 POINTS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The endless pit that is the dry bulk market over the past two months, has been the issue of debate among ship owners, shipbroker and analysts alike ...


Friday, 05 February 16
COAL INDIA EYES COAL MINES IN SOUTH AFRICA - PTI
“Coal India Ltd has plans of acquiring coal mines in South Africa,” an official said. It is looking at acquiring mines in partnership w ...


Friday, 05 February 16
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT ROSE 4.2% TO 13.6 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 13.6 million shor ...


Thursday, 04 February 16
CAPESIZE: WEST AUSTRALIAN TO CHINA HAS BEEN CONCLUDED AT US$ 2.85 PMT AND THE C3 MARKET REMAINS INACTIVE - FEARNLEYS
Capesize As everyone is getting ready for the Chinese new year, already depressed rates are under further pressure. According to Fearnleys, ...


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