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Thursday, 03 March 16
INDIA'S BUDGET NOT ENOUGH TO BOOST STEELMAKERS' PROFITABILITY - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings says that increase in proposed infrastructure spending in India's latest government budget is unlikely to provide a boost to domestic steel demand growth, unless project execution rates pick up significantly. Domestic steel producers also face overcapacity, which is likely to weigh on their profitability and credit metrics in the near term.

The budget plans to increase capex on infrastructure (roads, railways and shipping) in the financial year ending March 2017 (FY17) by 23% to INR2.3trn. For FY16, the government had budgeted for infrastructure investment to double from actual spending in FY15. However, except for a pick-up in road construction (up 36% yoy in 1HFY16), project implementation appears to have been weak so far in FY16.

Private-sector investment has also remained weak, given the stretched corporate balance sheets. As a result, steel demand growth in India has remained soft at 4.7% yoy in 9MFY16. We expect steel demand growth to improve slightly to 7%-8% in FY17, supported by a pick-up in government infrastructure spending with better project execution.

However, the steel industry is burdened by overcapacity. Domestic capacity is scheduled to jump by about 15 million tonnes over the 2HFY16-FY17 period, which will exceed a potential 6 million tonne increase in domestic steel demand in FY17. At the same time, global supply continues to outstrip demand. Given the supply-demand growth mismatch, producers are likely to engage in price competition amid weak utilisation levels. Therefore, a recovery in sales realisation and profitability for Indian steelmakers is unlikely before FY18.


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Thursday, 24 March 16
NEWBUILDINGS' PRICES HAVE STARTED TO COME DOWN - ALLIED | HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Newbuildings’ prices have started to come down, as demand has remained subdued for quite some time now. In its latest weekly report, shipbrok ...


Wednesday, 23 March 16
THE PANAMA CANAL - WILL THE MELTING OF POLAR ICE CAPS CREATE RIVAL NAVIGATIONAL WATERWAYS THROUGH THE ARCTIC? - INTERMODAL
The Panama Canal, 102 years after its initial opening, is now about to have its expansion completed with a cost of USD5.25 Billion. It is a project ...


Tuesday, 22 March 16
FOUR NEW MARKET MEMBERS HAVE JOINED GLOBALCOAL
globalCOAL® announced yesterday that four new Market Members have joined its international trading community. Ferrocadia DMCC is an intern ...


Monday, 21 March 16
INDONESIAN 4200 GAR COAL INDEX ROSE $0.12 OR, 0.44% WEEK OVER WEEK; INDEX CLOASED AT $27.19 A TON
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin rose 0.21 percent week over week to averaging $38.90 per ton on this past Friday, ac ...


Monday, 21 March 16
THE BALTIC DRY INDEX ROSE SLIGHTLY WEEK OVER WEEK; BCI UP 11.93%
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities continued rose this week helped by higher rates for Cape ...


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