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Wednesday, 03 February 16
DRY BULK MARKET CONTINUES TO BE UNDER PRESSURE - INTERMODAL
 The Dry Bulk market continues to be under pressure, with the BDI remaining in search of even the slightest support, which seems to be delaying more and more, while marking consecutive all-time lows throughout last week.
Freight rates in the sector are currently so low that fail to cover the vessels’ net OPEX (i.e. without taking into account possible financing). The unprecedented low earnings have been weighing down on prices and it goes without saying that are expected to keep doing so.
Yards focusing on building bulkers currently stand idle, with activity being almost non-existent. In the second hand market the number of vessels available for sale is notably high with plenty of candidates across all ages and potential Sellers considering and accepting in some cases, levels that a few months back they wouldn’t even discuss.
This is without a doubt an adverse reality, but there are nonetheless factors that could help improve the state of the dry bulk market in the medium run.
Lay-ups
All of the above are more or less known to all of us and they don’t need any further analysis as a number of voices have referred to them repeatedly over the past years. Another factor that could accelerate the market’s rebound and has only recently re-appeared in the equation, are lay-ups.
The latter monopolizes discussions as it is perceived as the last resort, bringing back memories from the 80’s crisis. We are currently approaching, if not already there, the point where daily losses will be higher than lay-up costs. Many nonetheless believe that even if we reach a meaningful number of lay-ups during the first months of the year, a possible market rebound, even a small one, during the last two quarters of 2016 will be overshadowed by the number of vessels exiting the lay-up condition amidst an improved market condition. But for an owner to have the incentive to pay all the necessary expenditures (repairs, surveys etc.) to make a vessel operational again, this means that earnings must have returned to levels well above OPEX, which in itself sort of secures a softer negative impact on rates once previously laid-up tonnage re-enters the market.
All of the above represent general trends the exact effect of which is difficult to calculate at the moment, let alone the timing this will kick in. Yet, combined with a possible increase in the supply of cargoes, they might positively affect the overall market sentiment even as soon as during the 2nd half of 2016. Fingers crossed.
Demolition
Until last October, Dry Bulk vessels built before 1995 could not easily find Buyers. Today these vessels, now over 15 years old, have completely ceased to attract any interest. If the market remains depressed, Buyers will even stop looking at vessels above 10yrs old, as differences in price margins between these and even younger vessels is currently very small.
Hence, for those owners who are willing or forced to sell, demolition remains their only option. Despite the fact that prices offered in the Indian subcontinent are currently the lowest in almost 8 years, the number of vessels that are heading for scrap keeps increasing rapidly.
Newbuilding
As mentioned above, demand for newbuildings in the Dry Bulk sector is totally absent. As the amount of deadweight to be delivered starting 2017 onwards becomes meaningless, this will also help the market, but this is obviously an effect that will not be enjoyed until then. Yet, the volume of cancelations, combined with slots that are converted to tankers should at some point help the market reach a healthier supply-demand relationship.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 22 January 16
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION ESTIMATES ALMOST FLAT
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 13.3 million shor ...
Friday, 22 January 16
COAL PRICES TO REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE THIS YEAR
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month and week over week. The falling trend of prices for coal was continuing ...
Friday, 22 January 16
Q3' 16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 40.80; DECLINE $ 2.80 M-O-M
COALspot.com: Q1’ 2016 API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap up month over month and decline week over week.
The Q1’ 2016 FOB Richards B ...
Wednesday, 20 January 16
Q3'16 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED $ 2.40 LESSER THAN Q1'16 CLOSING PRICE OF $ 38.10
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery rose another $0.77 per ton (2.06%) this past week compared to the sam ...
Wednesday, 20 January 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - NASOS SOULAKIS
If you believe in the “January effect”, the theory according to which the beginning of a new year has a positive effect on financial in ...
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- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
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