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Wednesday, 03 February 16
DRY BULK MARKET CONTINUES TO BE UNDER PRESSURE - INTERMODAL
 The Dry Bulk market continues to be under pressure, with the BDI remaining in search of even the slightest support, which seems to be delaying more and more, while marking consecutive all-time lows throughout last week.
Freight rates in the sector are currently so low that fail to cover the vessels’ net OPEX (i.e. without taking into account possible financing). The unprecedented low earnings have been weighing down on prices and it goes without saying that are expected to keep doing so.
Yards focusing on building bulkers currently stand idle, with activity being almost non-existent. In the second hand market the number of vessels available for sale is notably high with plenty of candidates across all ages and potential Sellers considering and accepting in some cases, levels that a few months back they wouldn’t even discuss.
This is without a doubt an adverse reality, but there are nonetheless factors that could help improve the state of the dry bulk market in the medium run.
Lay-ups
All of the above are more or less known to all of us and they don’t need any further analysis as a number of voices have referred to them repeatedly over the past years. Another factor that could accelerate the market’s rebound and has only recently re-appeared in the equation, are lay-ups.
The latter monopolizes discussions as it is perceived as the last resort, bringing back memories from the 80’s crisis. We are currently approaching, if not already there, the point where daily losses will be higher than lay-up costs. Many nonetheless believe that even if we reach a meaningful number of lay-ups during the first months of the year, a possible market rebound, even a small one, during the last two quarters of 2016 will be overshadowed by the number of vessels exiting the lay-up condition amidst an improved market condition. But for an owner to have the incentive to pay all the necessary expenditures (repairs, surveys etc.) to make a vessel operational again, this means that earnings must have returned to levels well above OPEX, which in itself sort of secures a softer negative impact on rates once previously laid-up tonnage re-enters the market.
All of the above represent general trends the exact effect of which is difficult to calculate at the moment, let alone the timing this will kick in. Yet, combined with a possible increase in the supply of cargoes, they might positively affect the overall market sentiment even as soon as during the 2nd half of 2016. Fingers crossed.
Demolition
Until last October, Dry Bulk vessels built before 1995 could not easily find Buyers. Today these vessels, now over 15 years old, have completely ceased to attract any interest. If the market remains depressed, Buyers will even stop looking at vessels above 10yrs old, as differences in price margins between these and even younger vessels is currently very small.
Hence, for those owners who are willing or forced to sell, demolition remains their only option. Despite the fact that prices offered in the Indian subcontinent are currently the lowest in almost 8 years, the number of vessels that are heading for scrap keeps increasing rapidly.
Newbuilding
As mentioned above, demand for newbuildings in the Dry Bulk sector is totally absent. As the amount of deadweight to be delivered starting 2017 onwards becomes meaningless, this will also help the market, but this is obviously an effect that will not be enjoyed until then. Yet, the volume of cancelations, combined with slots that are converted to tankers should at some point help the market reach a healthier supply-demand relationship.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 24 February 16
HOW IS THE FUEL MIX FOR U.S. ELECTRICITY GENERATION CHANGING? - EIA
In recent years, there have been changes in the mix of fuels used to generate electricity in the United States. Natural gas and renewable energy so ...
Wednesday, 24 February 16
PRIVATE EQUITY FUNDS LOOKING TO EXIT SHIPPING, MOST NOTABLY DRY BULK, AS OVERORDERING HAS RESULTED IN EXCESS TONNAGE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The injection of more than $13 billion in shipping from various private equity funds over the past few years has resulted in what many feared would ...
Wednesday, 24 February 16
THIRTEEN - NOT ALWAYS AN UNLUCKY NUMBER? - CLARKSONS
Back in early 1999 the price of a 5 year old Panamax bulkcarrier dipped to $13.5m, and ever since analysts have hailed purchase decisions made at t ...
Monday, 22 February 16
4200 GAR COAL INDEX SETTLES AT $27.02, DOWN 0.07% FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin decline 0.17 percent week over week to averaging $38.89 per ton on this past Friday, ...
Monday, 22 February 16
FREIGHT MARKETS PICKED UP SLIGHTLY THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight markets picked up slightly this past week.
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) of dry-bulk shipping freights, a measure of gl ...
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- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The University of Queensland
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Planning Commission, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PTC India Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
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