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Wednesday, 03 February 16
DRY BULK MARKET CONTINUES TO BE UNDER PRESSURE - INTERMODAL
 The Dry Bulk market continues to be under pressure, with the BDI remaining in search of even the slightest support, which seems to be delaying more and more, while marking consecutive all-time lows throughout last week.
Freight rates in the sector are currently so low that fail to cover the vessels’ net OPEX (i.e. without taking into account possible financing). The unprecedented low earnings have been weighing down on prices and it goes without saying that are expected to keep doing so.
Yards focusing on building bulkers currently stand idle, with activity being almost non-existent. In the second hand market the number of vessels available for sale is notably high with plenty of candidates across all ages and potential Sellers considering and accepting in some cases, levels that a few months back they wouldn’t even discuss.
This is without a doubt an adverse reality, but there are nonetheless factors that could help improve the state of the dry bulk market in the medium run.
Lay-ups
All of the above are more or less known to all of us and they don’t need any further analysis as a number of voices have referred to them repeatedly over the past years. Another factor that could accelerate the market’s rebound and has only recently re-appeared in the equation, are lay-ups.
The latter monopolizes discussions as it is perceived as the last resort, bringing back memories from the 80’s crisis. We are currently approaching, if not already there, the point where daily losses will be higher than lay-up costs. Many nonetheless believe that even if we reach a meaningful number of lay-ups during the first months of the year, a possible market rebound, even a small one, during the last two quarters of 2016 will be overshadowed by the number of vessels exiting the lay-up condition amidst an improved market condition. But for an owner to have the incentive to pay all the necessary expenditures (repairs, surveys etc.) to make a vessel operational again, this means that earnings must have returned to levels well above OPEX, which in itself sort of secures a softer negative impact on rates once previously laid-up tonnage re-enters the market.
All of the above represent general trends the exact effect of which is difficult to calculate at the moment, let alone the timing this will kick in. Yet, combined with a possible increase in the supply of cargoes, they might positively affect the overall market sentiment even as soon as during the 2nd half of 2016. Fingers crossed.
Demolition
Until last October, Dry Bulk vessels built before 1995 could not easily find Buyers. Today these vessels, now over 15 years old, have completely ceased to attract any interest. If the market remains depressed, Buyers will even stop looking at vessels above 10yrs old, as differences in price margins between these and even younger vessels is currently very small.
Hence, for those owners who are willing or forced to sell, demolition remains their only option. Despite the fact that prices offered in the Indian subcontinent are currently the lowest in almost 8 years, the number of vessels that are heading for scrap keeps increasing rapidly.
Newbuilding
As mentioned above, demand for newbuildings in the Dry Bulk sector is totally absent. As the amount of deadweight to be delivered starting 2017 onwards becomes meaningless, this will also help the market, but this is obviously an effect that will not be enjoyed until then. Yet, the volume of cancelations, combined with slots that are converted to tankers should at some point help the market reach a healthier supply-demand relationship.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 11 March 16
ADANI GLOBAL BAGS 0.26 MILLION TONS OF COAL CONTRACT FROM LANKA COAL COMPANY
COALspot.com: Lanka Coal Company (Private) Limited, Sri Lanka has awarded 260,000 +/- 10% tons of Power plant 6300 GAR calorific value coal to Adan ...
Friday, 11 March 16
US WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION DOWN BY 0.5 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 12.6 million shor ...
Friday, 11 March 16
FORTESCUE'S MOU WITH VALE COULD STRENGTHEN ITS BUSINESS PROFILE - FITCH
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings says that Australia-based Fortescue Metals Group Limited's (BB+/Negative) memorandum of understanding (MOU) with Br ...
Thursday, 10 March 16
CHINA'S NEW POLICY PLAN COULD BE POSITIVE FOR SHIPPING, BUT TARGETS SEEM RATHER AMBITIOUS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
China set out its new policy plan during the course of the past weekend, but it seems to have set some very ambitious goals, which could be difficu ...
Thursday, 10 March 16
U.S. COAL EXPORTS DECLINED 23% IN 2015, AS COAL IMPORTS REMAINED STEADY
COALspot.com: The United States remains a net exporter of coal, exporting 74.0 million short tons (MMst) and importing 11 MMst in 2015.
Accord ...
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- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
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