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Monday, 01 February 16
DRY BULK SUFFERS FROM POSEIDON'S POTENT PRONGS - CLARKSONS
 It has been a grim start to 2016 for the bulkcarrier market, with the Baltic Dry Index sliding to new record lows on almost every day of the year so far. With a nearly constant stream of negative news continuing to emerge across each of the key dry bulk cargo sectors, it is almost as if Poseidon, the Greek god of the sea, has with his powerful trident launched a three-pronged attack.
Down To The Ocean Depths
The current depression is indeed severe. The Baltic Dry Index, a daily indicator of bulkcarrier rates, fell to its 19th consecutive record low of 317 points on 29th January. This is far below the average of 718 points in 2015, which itself was the second lowest annual average on record, and represented a year in which bulker earnings averaged around $7,000/day, little over estimated operating costs.
Surprise Attack
Of course, difficult market conditions are nothing new. Bulker earnings have been under pressure since 2011, when more than 100m dwt of deliveries kept fleet growth in double-digits. Whilst fleet growth eased to 2.4% in 2015, the slowest pace in 16 years, new demand-side pressures emerged, with dry bulk trade remaining flat last year. In Greek mythology, Poseidon’s trident had the power to cause earthquakes on earth, and there has certainly been evidence of a shake up recently. But where have each of the three prongs hit, and how sharply?
Strikes To The Core
The first earthquake is being felt in the iron ore trade, which accounts for around a third of dry bulk trade. Following rapid growth of 15% in 2014, Chinese imports eased in 2015, and expansion in iron ore trade slowed during the year (see graph). Overall, global iron ore trade is estimated to have grown by only 2% in 2015, and continued weak Chinese steel demand and the temporary closure of several major iron ore ports in January has done little to reverse this trend into 2016 so far.
The second shake up has hit trade in coal, which accounts for a quarter of dry bulk trade, very hard. Volumes declined by an estimated 5% in 2015, and the decline in volumes on the top 100 coal trade flows neared 10% y-o-y in Q3 2015, as Chinese and Indian imports fell. With several countries looking to increase reliance on clean energy sources, a major improvement in volumes seems unlikely.
Shifting The Currents
Finally, whilst the third earthquake has perhaps been less obvious than the first two, it has still had a significant impact. Growth in minor bulk trade, a diverse cargo grouping that accounts for more than a third of dry bulk trade volumes, was limited to 1% last year, owing in part to lower Chinese demand for imports of forest products, steel products, nickel ore, and various other smaller cargoes.
Stem The Tide?
So, the seas have been exceedingly stormy in the dry bulk sector. The impact from China’s economic transition is still resonating, and as yet there are few signs of an imminent improvement. As distressed conditions take their toll, hopes will be that the power of Poseidon’s trident will eventually start to ebb.
Source: Clarksons | Hellenic Shipping News
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Friday, 12 February 16
DRY BULK MARKET'S FORTUNES STILL TIED WITH CHINA'S ECONOMY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The inevitable slowdown of the Chinese economy was expected to hurt dry bulk shipping, but few expected the blow to be this hard, especially given ...
Friday, 12 February 16
COAL PRICES ARE EXPECTED TO DECLINE 13% IN 2016 TO $50 ATON, ON CONTINUED WEAK DEMAND AND OVERSUPPLY - WORLD BANK
COALspot.com: Thermal coal prices fell 9 percent in the fourth quarter on continued weak demand, high stocks, and surplus production, World Bank sa ...
Friday, 12 February 16
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION OFF 5.4% FROM LAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 12.9 million shor ...
Thursday, 11 February 16
GLOBAL NEWBUILDING ORDERBOOK IS SHRINKING ON A DAILY BASIS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
2016 has started right where 2015 left off when it comes to newbuilding ordering activity, i.e. there are slim pickings to be had from shipyards ar ...
Wednesday, 10 February 16
SOUTH AFRICA IS HOPING TO SHIP MORE COAL TO INDIA IN 2016
COALspot.com: South Africa is hoping to boost coal exports to India after shipping a record 75.4 million tonnes of coal in 2015, industry officials ...
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Australian Coal Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Planning Commission, India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
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