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Friday, 08 January 16
DRY BULK MARKET'S CRISIS DEEPENS AS RATES ARE DROPPING TO NEW RECORD LOWS BY THE DAY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 Just when you would think that the dry bulk market is reaching its bottom, even as it has long surpassed all-time lows, each day that passes by at the start of 2016, brings about more bad news. Yesterday, the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) reached new lows, plunging by 22 points to a mere 445 points. As it turns out, things will most likely turn worse, before they get better.
In its latest weekly report, commenting on the Capesize market, shipbroker Fearnley’s noted that “as expected rates have been under pressure the first week of the new year. West Australia / China rates are up from sub 3 pmt levels during Christmas to approx USD 3,30 with a slightly further improvement expected. Fronthaul cargoes remain scarce. Some period activity with short period fixtures beeing concluded around the USD 4,500 a day for 175,000 dwts”, said the shipbroker.
Meanwhile, in the Panamax market, Fearnleys said that “activity in the Atlantic seems to increase a bit after X-mas and new year, especially grain from USG and ECSA to far east absorbing tonnage. Transatlantic roundvoyages paying arnd 4000 USD depending delivery, duration and redelivery. Cold weather and more ice can make Baltic and North Atlantic tight, if iceclassed tonnage needed. Sofar rates steady. Rates moving up for fronthaul and 10.000 + 150 bb reported fixed from USG to feast. ECSA to feast paying mid 7 k + 220 k bb.
Grain from ECSA to continent paying mid 6k for a good Kamsarmax. Nopac rounds paying 4000 USD + 100 k bb. Pacific rounds hovering around low/mid USD 3000. Period market slow but
we believe modern tonnage get arnd USD 5500 for 1 year”, the shipbroker noted.
Finally, in the Handy markets, Fearnleys said that “after a quiet holiday period, the market has slowly awakened from its slumber. Rates are not running away but the market looks like it is finding a bottom. Averages for a Surpa are now around mid USD 4000’s and only marginally down from pre Christmas levels. 2016 has started with a couple of period fixtures reported at low USD 6000’s for Ultramaxes. Thus by default Supras will only be worth something in the USD 5’s for a 12 month deal”, it concluded.
In a note this week, BIMCO said that in 2016, it expects the supply-side to grow by around 2% (2.6% in 2015E) – and that this will be helped by a new record level of scrapping. On the demand-side, growth is forecast to remain level. Challenging market conditions in China will be likely to affect the level of risk.
According to the organization’s review of 2015, “the dry bulk market experienced a troublesome 2015 as the ongoing decline in Chinese coal imports was not countered by any significant upswing elsewhere. Whereas iron ore imports were on a par with 2014, steel export from China reached a new high, benefitting mid-sized ships. For 2016, much depends on what Chinese steel mills will do. Will they continue production above domestic consumption – or substitute domestically mined ore with imported ore? The jury is still out.
At the end of November, the Baltic Dry Index hit 498, a new all-time low. For most of the year, the majority of ships have traded below OPEX levels, resulting in financial losses for many companies. The horrific first half of 2015 brought around a new half-year record for scrapping. Improvements in the freight market during Q3 regrettably cooled down demolition market activities. Nevertheless, fleet growth recorded a twelve-year low.
Meanwhile, in the newbuilding market, Fearnleys noted that “only six days into the new year, most of the contracts in the below table were reported in the latter part of December. On the tanker side aframaxes were in focus as Tsuneishi secured an order for 8 vessels of which four went to their “in-house” owners Kambara Kisen. Ship Finance went to Daehan (Korea) for two option two LR2 type product carriers to be delivered in the second part of 2017. The contract was done in combination with a 7+2 years charter to US based Energy Company. At the doorstep of a new year we expect yards to compete strongly for new contractcs in a market with diminishing demand and prices under continous pressure”, the shipbroker concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Sunday, 06 December 15
DESPITE TEMPTING NEWBUILDING PRICES, CONTRACTING IN DRY BULK REMAINS LOW - BIMCO
The current newbuilding prices for dry bulk ships has dropped so much that they just passed the lows of 2012 heading downwards and are now at the l ...
Friday, 04 December 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS ARE ALMOST FLAT OVER WEAK DEMAND
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month and rose slightly week over week. Coal prices seen very margi ...
Friday, 04 December 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE U.S. FOR W/E NOVEMBER 28TH FELL SLIGHTLY FROM THE PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 15.0 million shor ...
Friday, 04 December 15
MINING OUTLOOK WEAKENS FURTHER ON FALLING CHINESE DEMAND - FITCH
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings' outlook for the global mining sector in 2016 is firmly negative, reflecting our view that Chinese demand will cont ...
Thursday, 03 December 15
DRY BULK: THERMAL COAL LOWER USAGE UNDER A POTENTIAL NEW CLIMATE DEAL WILL ADVERSELY IMPACT THE MARKET'S RECOVERY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In direct contrast to the tanker market, the dry bulk one has seen demand for key commodities, such a coal, dwindling down over the course of the p ...
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- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- VISA Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- The University of Queensland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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