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Sunday, 22 November 15
INDIA COULD PROVIDE SILVER LINING FOR SHIPPING INDUSTRY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 The rise of India as a global player in the shipping market could be just a couple of years away, as the country has the potential to become a second “China”, in terms of stimulating seaborne demand for commodities, mainly coal and iron ore, as well as energy-related products. If one takes a closer look at the latest country focus from the International Energy Agency (IEA), he will notice that India is moving onto the center stage of global energy taking top spot in terms of coal consumption, oil demand growth and solar PV output. As one can quickly realize it is the first two that are of particular interest to the shipping industry, with coal consumption rather important for the dry bulk market and oil demand growth for the tanker industry.
In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Allied Shipbroking noted that “the reason for most of this is the rapid growth in energy consumption expected to take place amongst its 1.3 billion population, something that is relatively easy to feed for such extraordinary growth levels over the next couple of years given that 240 million of them live in rural areas without electricity, while at the same time it has one of the highest growth levels in new car ownership. Both of these will prove as influential factors propelling a close to 30% increase in coal and oil consumption by 2020”.
Allied’s George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations, said that “coal is India’s primary source of energy representing 40% of its energy mix while taking its position as third largest producer and consumer worldwide. Given that India is expected to keep its coal-cantered energy approach despite the global “green” pres-sure and taking into account the increased demand it will have for power capacity and electricity generation it will be interesting to see where it will look to serve its needs given that sooner or later it will find its internal production and reserves inadequate to keep up with its growing appetite. This means that although its effect on seaborne coal trade may remain capped as it takes on efforts to increase its internal production, if its growth in demand keeps on track with what it is now it wont be long before it takes up and holds the lion share in the market. It is worth mentioning that this year to date it has already surpassed Chinese imports taking up 20% of the coal trade this year, thanks to the softer demand from the previous market leader, namely China”, he noted.
Meanwhile, “things however are quite different when it comes to oil, as India relies primarily on imports to cover both its consumer and industrial needs. With over 260m passenger cars expected to be added to its current car ownership over the next 25 years and with its industry set to take a more prominent role in the world stage, expectations are for an equally bullish increase in demand for both crude oil as well as, if not more so in oil products. The only down side to this is its prime location, situated much closer to the main Middle Eastern producers then any of the OECD members or China. This means that the benefiting tonne-miles will be fewer, though at the end of the day any boost in demand is always welcome”, Lazaridis said.
So, what are the plausible dampeners to such positive scenarios? “Well for one you are still faced with the risk of policy control which may be brought about by global environmental concerns. This is particularly an issue for coal, which might take place either through a pressure for India to decrease it reliance or even through other major consumers moving away from their reliance on this “dirty fuel”. On the side of oil it seems the biggest dampener might be technology, with current trends moving to-wards more environmentally friendly modes of transportation. Nevertheless, it looks as though there is still something to keep us hopeful for the future”, Allied’s analyst concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 15 October 15
Q1' 16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP ADVANCED 2 PER CENT WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q4' 2015 gain week over week and declined month over month.
The Q4 swap was dow ...
Tuesday, 13 October 15
DRY BULK SHIPPING FLEET NET EXPANSION WAS 1.3% DURING THIRD QUARTER, BUT ORDERBOOK REDUCED TO 17% OF THE TRADING FLEET
If the dry bulk market is to rebound on a sustainable level, it needs to limit the tonnage expansion, at least until demand picks up again, as Chin ...
Tuesday, 13 October 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP DECLINED 2 PER CENT MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q4’ 2015 delivery decreased $0.46 per ton (1.08%) month over month to US$ 42.17 per ton. The ...
Monday, 12 October 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS GAIN W-W; SLIGHTLY DOWN M-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery down just US cents 3 (0.06 %) per ton month over month.
A commodity ...
Monday, 12 October 15
DRY BULK SHIPPING: MARKETS ARE SLOWLY IMPROVING FROM A VERY LOW LEVEL AS THE DEMAND SIDE FALTERS - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market is in the midst of a shift in demand patterns, which coupled with a tonnage supply overhang, has been facing headwinds over the ...
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- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
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