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Sunday, 22 November 15
INDIA COULD PROVIDE SILVER LINING FOR SHIPPING INDUSTRY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 The rise of India as a global player in the shipping market could be just a couple of years away, as the country has the potential to become a second “China”, in terms of stimulating seaborne demand for commodities, mainly coal and iron ore, as well as energy-related products. If one takes a closer look at the latest country focus from the International Energy Agency (IEA), he will notice that India is moving onto the center stage of global energy taking top spot in terms of coal consumption, oil demand growth and solar PV output. As one can quickly realize it is the first two that are of particular interest to the shipping industry, with coal consumption rather important for the dry bulk market and oil demand growth for the tanker industry.
In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Allied Shipbroking noted that “the reason for most of this is the rapid growth in energy consumption expected to take place amongst its 1.3 billion population, something that is relatively easy to feed for such extraordinary growth levels over the next couple of years given that 240 million of them live in rural areas without electricity, while at the same time it has one of the highest growth levels in new car ownership. Both of these will prove as influential factors propelling a close to 30% increase in coal and oil consumption by 2020”.
Allied’s George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations, said that “coal is India’s primary source of energy representing 40% of its energy mix while taking its position as third largest producer and consumer worldwide. Given that India is expected to keep its coal-cantered energy approach despite the global “green” pres-sure and taking into account the increased demand it will have for power capacity and electricity generation it will be interesting to see where it will look to serve its needs given that sooner or later it will find its internal production and reserves inadequate to keep up with its growing appetite. This means that although its effect on seaborne coal trade may remain capped as it takes on efforts to increase its internal production, if its growth in demand keeps on track with what it is now it wont be long before it takes up and holds the lion share in the market. It is worth mentioning that this year to date it has already surpassed Chinese imports taking up 20% of the coal trade this year, thanks to the softer demand from the previous market leader, namely China”, he noted.
Meanwhile, “things however are quite different when it comes to oil, as India relies primarily on imports to cover both its consumer and industrial needs. With over 260m passenger cars expected to be added to its current car ownership over the next 25 years and with its industry set to take a more prominent role in the world stage, expectations are for an equally bullish increase in demand for both crude oil as well as, if not more so in oil products. The only down side to this is its prime location, situated much closer to the main Middle Eastern producers then any of the OECD members or China. This means that the benefiting tonne-miles will be fewer, though at the end of the day any boost in demand is always welcome”, Lazaridis said.
So, what are the plausible dampeners to such positive scenarios? “Well for one you are still faced with the risk of policy control which may be brought about by global environmental concerns. This is particularly an issue for coal, which might take place either through a pressure for India to decrease it reliance or even through other major consumers moving away from their reliance on this “dirty fuel”. On the side of oil it seems the biggest dampener might be technology, with current trends moving to-wards more environmentally friendly modes of transportation. Nevertheless, it looks as though there is still something to keep us hopeful for the future”, Allied’s analyst concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 24 November 15
COAL PRICES SET TO REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE UNTIL 2016 DUE TO OVER SUPPLY GLUT; H1 '16 COAL SWAPS DOWN 13% M-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $5 per ton (12.05%) month over month to US$ 36.50 per ton. The s ...
Monday, 23 November 15
NEGATIVE 2016 OUTLOOK FOR WESTERN EUROPEAN STEEL - SAYS FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: European steel in 2016 are both negative for the sector and for issuer ratings.
This reflects our expectation that import levels ...
Monday, 23 November 15
DRY BULK MARKET: NET FLEET GROWTH IS SLOWING DOWN, AS SHIP OWNERS ARE LOOKING FOR WAYS TO ALLEVIATING MARKET MELTDOWN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been in “meltdown” mode for a few weeks now, unable to find support and avoid the fall in historical lows. As s ...
Monday, 23 November 15
CS50 COAL INDEX CLOSED AT $40.27 PER TON; FELL 0.15% FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The 5700 GAR CS (i) coal index fell by US cents 3 per ton week over week on 20 November 2015. CS 57 (5700 GAR coal) index closed at U ...
Monday, 23 November 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FALL FURTHER ON LOW DEMAND
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery declined US$ 6.75 (13.99%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swa ...
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- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- White Energy Company Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
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