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Sunday, 22 November 15
INDIA COULD PROVIDE SILVER LINING FOR SHIPPING INDUSTRY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 The rise of India as a global player in the shipping market could be just a couple of years away, as the country has the potential to become a second “China”, in terms of stimulating seaborne demand for commodities, mainly coal and iron ore, as well as energy-related products. If one takes a closer look at the latest country focus from the International Energy Agency (IEA), he will notice that India is moving onto the center stage of global energy taking top spot in terms of coal consumption, oil demand growth and solar PV output. As one can quickly realize it is the first two that are of particular interest to the shipping industry, with coal consumption rather important for the dry bulk market and oil demand growth for the tanker industry.
In its latest weekly report, shipbroker Allied Shipbroking noted that “the reason for most of this is the rapid growth in energy consumption expected to take place amongst its 1.3 billion population, something that is relatively easy to feed for such extraordinary growth levels over the next couple of years given that 240 million of them live in rural areas without electricity, while at the same time it has one of the highest growth levels in new car ownership. Both of these will prove as influential factors propelling a close to 30% increase in coal and oil consumption by 2020”.
Allied’s George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations, said that “coal is India’s primary source of energy representing 40% of its energy mix while taking its position as third largest producer and consumer worldwide. Given that India is expected to keep its coal-cantered energy approach despite the global “green” pres-sure and taking into account the increased demand it will have for power capacity and electricity generation it will be interesting to see where it will look to serve its needs given that sooner or later it will find its internal production and reserves inadequate to keep up with its growing appetite. This means that although its effect on seaborne coal trade may remain capped as it takes on efforts to increase its internal production, if its growth in demand keeps on track with what it is now it wont be long before it takes up and holds the lion share in the market. It is worth mentioning that this year to date it has already surpassed Chinese imports taking up 20% of the coal trade this year, thanks to the softer demand from the previous market leader, namely China”, he noted.
Meanwhile, “things however are quite different when it comes to oil, as India relies primarily on imports to cover both its consumer and industrial needs. With over 260m passenger cars expected to be added to its current car ownership over the next 25 years and with its industry set to take a more prominent role in the world stage, expectations are for an equally bullish increase in demand for both crude oil as well as, if not more so in oil products. The only down side to this is its prime location, situated much closer to the main Middle Eastern producers then any of the OECD members or China. This means that the benefiting tonne-miles will be fewer, though at the end of the day any boost in demand is always welcome”, Lazaridis said.
So, what are the plausible dampeners to such positive scenarios? “Well for one you are still faced with the risk of policy control which may be brought about by global environmental concerns. This is particularly an issue for coal, which might take place either through a pressure for India to decrease it reliance or even through other major consumers moving away from their reliance on this “dirty fuel”. On the side of oil it seems the biggest dampener might be technology, with current trends moving to-wards more environmentally friendly modes of transportation. Nevertheless, it looks as though there is still something to keep us hopeful for the future”, Allied’s analyst concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 24 November 15
COAL PRICES SET TO REMAIN UNDER PRESSURE UNTIL 2016 DUE TO OVER SUPPLY GLUT; H1 '16 COAL SWAPS DOWN 13% M-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $5 per ton (12.05%) month over month to US$ 36.50 per ton. The s ...
Monday, 23 November 15
NEGATIVE 2016 OUTLOOK FOR WESTERN EUROPEAN STEEL - SAYS FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: European steel in 2016 are both negative for the sector and for issuer ratings.
This reflects our expectation that import levels ...
Monday, 23 November 15
DRY BULK MARKET: NET FLEET GROWTH IS SLOWING DOWN, AS SHIP OWNERS ARE LOOKING FOR WAYS TO ALLEVIATING MARKET MELTDOWN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been in “meltdown” mode for a few weeks now, unable to find support and avoid the fall in historical lows. As s ...
Monday, 23 November 15
CS50 COAL INDEX CLOSED AT $40.27 PER TON; FELL 0.15% FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The 5700 GAR CS (i) coal index fell by US cents 3 per ton week over week on 20 November 2015. CS 57 (5700 GAR coal) index closed at U ...
Monday, 23 November 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FALL FURTHER ON LOW DEMAND
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery declined US$ 6.75 (13.99%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swa ...
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Coal Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
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