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Friday, 13 November 15
WEAK CHINA POWER DEMAND DAMPENS COAL CONSUMPTION - FITCH
 The weak growth in China's electricity consumption in 2015, together with increasing non-thermal power generation capacity are exerting more pressure on the thermal coal market, which is already suffering from over capacity, says Fitch Ratings.
Fitch Ratings further says, overcapacity looms in China's power generation industry, with coal-fired power at most risk. China is experiencing the slowest power consumption growth in three decades - power consumption only increased 0.8% yoy during 9M15, largely due to a 0.9% yoy drop in industrial demand that accounts for 70% of overall power usage. Despite weak electricity demand, generation capacity increased by 9.4% yoy in the same period, of which half came from renewable and nuclear generation sources. Coal-fired power supply contracted 2.2% yoy during 9M15. China's total coal consumption in 9M15 was 2.9bn metric tonnes (MT), down 4.6% from the same period last year.
Consumption of coal-fired power is unlikely to increase significantly in the next 12 to 18 months, given our expectation of weaker economic growth in China, as well as the overall reduction in the energy intensity of the Chinese economy.
Furthermore, "we expect significant addition of renewable-energy generation capacity in the medium term, which is likely to further depress utilisation levels of coal-fired power plants in the absence of a substantial pick up in the energy-intensive industries. Some 177GWs of new generation capacity was under construction as of September 2015, or 13% of 2014 total installed capacity; clean energy sources account for just over 50% of this additional capacity.", says Fitch.
China's key thermal coal reference price, the Qinhuangdao 5,500-kilocalorie power coal price, has fallen 30% to CNY360/MT at end-October 2015, from CNY515/MT at the beginning of 2015. Prices have continued to be under pressure despite imports falling 29.8% yoy to 156m MT in 9M15, and domestic production falling 4.3% yoy to 2.7bn MT in 9M15 following production cuts, including cuts by large operators such as China Shenhua Energy Company Limited (A+/Stable) and China Coal Energy Company
Limited.
"We expect sustained low coal prices and the limited potential for further cost cuts to lead to more mine closures, which will bring some balance to the market over the medium-term. This may also lead to some consolidation in the highly fragmented coal mining industry in China, with large players increasing their market share - this is more likely to happen via stronger players sustaining or increasing their production as the weak leave the market, than by strong players acquiring distressed assets."Fitch Concluded.
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Sunday, 06 December 15
DRY BULK MARKET ON REVERSE MODE, SET TO BREAK NEW ALL-TIME LOWS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been the negative “star” of the shipping industry for quite some time. In fact if it wasn’t for the boomi ...
Sunday, 06 December 15
DESPITE TEMPTING NEWBUILDING PRICES, CONTRACTING IN DRY BULK REMAINS LOW - BIMCO
The current newbuilding prices for dry bulk ships has dropped so much that they just passed the lows of 2012 heading downwards and are now at the l ...
Friday, 04 December 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS ARE ALMOST FLAT OVER WEAK DEMAND
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month and rose slightly week over week. Coal prices seen very margi ...
Friday, 04 December 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE U.S. FOR W/E NOVEMBER 28TH FELL SLIGHTLY FROM THE PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 15.0 million shor ...
Friday, 04 December 15
MINING OUTLOOK WEAKENS FURTHER ON FALLING CHINESE DEMAND - FITCH
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings' outlook for the global mining sector in 2016 is firmly negative, reflecting our view that Chinese demand will cont ...
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- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parliament of New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Planning Commission, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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