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Tuesday, 20 October 15
SHIPBROKER SEES CAPESIZE RATES EASILY REACHING $25,000/DAY BY YEAR-END : NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
 The future course of the dry bulk market has been troubling market participants for quite some time now, as the “elusive” freight rate rally never seems to materialize, at least in terms of a viable market situation. In its latest report, shipbroker Allied Shipbroking noted that “with the month of October already in its second week and the dry bulk market still in decline a split in opinion has started to emerge, with many still expecting a rally to be seen during the course of the final quarter of 2015, while others are more cautious noting a weakness in the paper market and a lack in activity in the actual market. The truth is that despite a slight increase in interest and an influx of demand from the Far East, rates have yet to show a positive face”.
Αccording to Allied’s George Lazaridis, Head of Market Research & Asset Valuations, “we have seen a growing interest in both the Pacific and North Atlantic basin over the last days which should generate a fairly good momentum moving forward, while in the Capesize market the recent improvement has been noted without the help of the main West Australian or Brazilian shippers, which as things stand now are still waiting in the sidelines. Taking into consideration the late emergence of the summer rally and given that commodity prices are once again at close to some of their lowest levels, it shouldn’t be long before traders react, looking to take advantage of the cheaper prices on offer and pulling in all their re-stocking demands for the period”.
Lazaridis added that “in the case of the Capesize and Handysize vessels, this looks to be a double gain, as we only need to see a similar rise in interest as the one noted last year during the same period in order to generate an equal improvement in freight levels, given as the fleet size of both these size segments has remained overall unchanged during the past 12 months. Taking the same consideration for Panamaxes and Supramaxes things aren’t as rosy, as their respective fleets have shown a notable increase since then.
Nevertheless, things have been more positive for these size segments thanks to the improving demand from India which is driving bigger interest in the Pacific for these vessels. As such it wouldn’t be an exaggeration to place a base case scenario of the Baltic TCA rates in the Supramaxes and Panamaxes surpassing at some point the US$ 10,000/day mark before the year closes, while Capesizes should easily reach the US$ 25,000/day mark”, Allied’s analyst noted.
Yet, as Lazaridis pointed out, “despite this and beyond the fact that it seemed as if we had reached bottom in terms of asset prices, it now looks as though the direction here is also on the verge of a change. Unfortunately and given the large influx of modern sales candidates that have entered the market in the past weeks, while also taking into consideration that a large portion of these are from troubled owners, expectations are for another drop. The main issue here is by how much and with market dynamics, namely the freight market and supply of sales candidates, moving in opposite directions, we will inevitably see a “tug of war”. What will push the scale in favor of softer prices will likely be the lack of market optimism, as few out there are hopeful in terms of the prospects of the first quarter of 2016 which will follow thereafter”.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Monday, 12 October 15
BDI WEIGHED DOWN BY CAPE
COALspot.com: The BDI (Baltic Dry Index) has come back down again this week. The BDI is a benchmark index used to assess the overall cost of moving ...
Sunday, 11 October 15
TANKER SHIPPING: MORE OPTIMISM IN SIGHT FOR TANKERS IN THE WINTER SEASON - BIMCO
Demand:
2015 has been the year of the tanker. The fundamental improvements with slow supply-side growth for some years coupled with low oil pri ...
Friday, 09 October 15
US WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT UP 1.2 PERCENT TO 17.7 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.7 million shor ...
Thursday, 08 October 15
CAPESIZE: MOST PEOPLE AGREE A SPIKE IN RATES WILL HAPPEN; WHEN, HOW LONG AND HOW SUBSTANTIAL? - FEARNLEYS
Cape
Depressives start of the fourth quarter, with c3 approaching USD 12 pmt and c5 presently in the mind 5's. According to Fearnleys ship br ...
Wednesday, 07 October 15
U.S. COAL EXPORTS FOR THE FIRST SEVEN MONTHS DOWN 21 PER CENT COMPARED WITH THE SAME PERIOD IN 2014 - EIA
Coal Supply
Lower U.S.’s domestic coal consumption and reduced exports contribute to a forecast decline of 89 million short tons (M ...
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- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
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- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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- The University of Queensland
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- Planning Commission, India
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- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
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- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
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