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Wednesday, 07 October 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Sale and Purchase activity during the first three quarters of 2015 and more specifically during the summer season has been rather remarkable. 421 vessels, totaling 30 million dwt, changed hands in the period between June and August 2015, while in the same period last year, 304 vessels, totaling 17.8 million dwt, were sold. The increase is significant and we generally see a pretty good momentum in the number of sales as well as an increase in sale candidates at the moment.
What is also quite notable is that this year kicked off with heavy scrapping activity. As a matter of fact, during the first half of 2015 strong demo sales seemed to be laying the groundwork for a record year of scrapping, however signs of a slowdown during Q3, have now considerably lowered expectation for the year’s final figure. 739 vessels of 31million dwt were scrapped during the period Jan-Sep 2015, while 594 of these ships were sold for demo during Jan-Jun 2015. This clearly shows that activity has slowed down compared to the first half of the year.
The heavy scrapping activity that was witnessed in the first six months of 2015 was almost solely attributed to dry bulk vessels that amidst exceptionally poor rates headed for scrap in high volumes. In the first half of the year, 265 dry bulk vessels (above 20,000dwt) were scrapped, while in the entire of 2014 we count 267 vessels (above 20,000dwt) sent for demo. The case of 15-yr bulkers being sent for scrap was more than often during both Q1 and Q2, while as rates started finding a more stable foot in the beginning of the summer season, dry bulk owners of older tonnage quickly distanced themselves from the demolition option.
On the other hand and with regards to the volume of tankers that have been scrapped so far in 2015, we note that this is minimal. 68 Tankers were scrapped during the first half of the year and only 10 during the third quarter. The booming daily rates in the sector this year, have after a prolonged period of intense volatility and disappointing performance, provided tanker owners with renewed hope, while lower demolition prices have also deterred owners of tankers above their scrapping age, to hold back a little while longer. Last year, a total of 669 tankers, totaling 9.9mil dwt were sent for scrap, while this year, in the period Jan-Sep we count 314 tankers of around 2.57mil dwt.
Average demolition prices offered today are around 300 – 320 $/ton, while last year they were ranging between 400-420usd/ton. In the case of a VLCC, of about 37,000 tons lightweight, today’s demo prices translate to $3-4 million less per ship sold. Adding to that the fact that VLCC rates have soared to above $ 100,000/day in the past three weeks, there is absolutely no argument for scrapping at the moment.
If freight rates remain around or close to current levels, it will make good sense for all of the 21 VLs built between 1995 and 1996, which have reached or are about to reach their 20th year and 4th SS/DD, to get their 5 year extension. Overall sentiment remains bullish for the sector, while with Saudi Crude Production expected to stay at levels well above 10 million barrels/day, and the winter season approaching, the arguments for firm demand and negligible scrapping in the following months remain plenty.
By John N. Cotzias
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 13 November 15
WEAK CHINA POWER DEMAND DAMPENS COAL CONSUMPTION - FITCH
The weak growth in China's electricity consumption in 2015, together with increasing non-thermal power generation capacity are exerting more pr ...
Friday, 13 November 15
DRY BULK, IT IS HARD TO MAINTAIN AN OPTIMISTIC VIEW FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF MONTHS - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The dry bulk owners looking for cover remained under pressure for size segments across the board. With Capes closing off the week as ...
Friday, 13 November 15
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION DECLINES TO 16.5 MMST; SLIDE 14.9% Y-Y: EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 16.5 million shor ...
Thursday, 12 November 15
FOREIGN COAL MINE ACQUISITION - STRATEGY VERSUS OPPORTUNITY FOR INDIAN UTILITIES - DIPESH DIPU
The acquisition market for thermal coal assets abroad is dull. Sellers of all hues are in the market; some are actively scouting for buyers while o ...
Thursday, 12 November 15
PORT OF NEWCASTLE'S COAL EXPORT VOLUME UP IN OCTOBER 2015
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $1.254 billio ...
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Planning Commission, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Coal Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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