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Thursday, 17 September 15
MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
 Having experienced, as it was much anticipated, a poor 1st half combined with negative forecasts, summer, in sharp contrast, proved to be more hopeful for Dry Bulk owners. Following several months of rates barely above or even below OPEX, bulk carriers started to enjoy better rates sometime in the beginning of July. In the 3rd quarter, charterers became admittedly more active, absorbed more units and provided healthier rates. Consequently, higher returns started covering operational costs and gave a huge relief to managing companies that in their majority were counting losses for a long period of time, during which the S&P market aligned with the freight market.
In February the modern Kamsarmax M/V Flora Island (Abt 81k dwt 2012 Blt Korea) was sold at $18.4 mill. Later in June, the M/V Miraero Brave (Abt 81k dwt 2012 Blt Korea) was sold at a shade lower, $17.8 mill, obviously due to the negative pressure exerted on rates at the time. However in July the BDI started correcting upward and the similar vessel M/V Asita Sun (Abt 81k dwt 2012 Blt Korea) was been fixed at $20.2 mill, followed by its near sister vessel M/V Pinchat (Abt 81k dwt 2012 Blt Korea), the sale of which took place in August at $21.5 mill.
During the last few weeks, market sentiment is changing over again with the BDI now moving well below the 1,000 point threshold. Is it only a matter of time before asset prices follow along? During 2015 so far the index fell to 509 points and bounced back to 1222 points in August. Yet, even within this volatile environment the price of a 2012 Kamsarmax vessel increased by 16%. Today the BDI is approaching 800 points.
Financial instabilities that prevail in the majority of the developed countries together with the macroeconomic troubles that the rest of developing economies are facing, has resulted in the weakening of global trade that is severely affecting the Dry Bulk market. The future remains unsure. The constant growth in production of commodities is not only ensuring ample supply but also attractive prices. As demand growth for some of these commodities is faltering due to slower global economic growth, concerns that tonnage supply, despite all the scrapping, might still be too much in the medium term, remain present.
While waiting for a definitive market recovery, these ups and downs at the bottom of the shipping cycle create great short-term buying opportunities. When someone who is deciding which sector to invest in, is thinking about the condition of the global economy, the “ocean” might still be one of the safer ones out there.
By Konstantinos Kontomichis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 05 October 15
Q1 & Q2 2016 DELIVERY SWAPS DECLINED M-M AND W-W THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q4’ 2015 delivery decreased $0.36 per ton (0.85%) month over month to US$ 42.12 per ton. The ...
Monday, 05 October 15
Q1' 16 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED US$ 48.05 PER TON
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery down US$ 0.47 (0.96 %) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap is ...
Monday, 05 October 15
SMALL DECLINE IN 2014 SHIP OPERATING COSTS - MOORE STEPHENS
Total annual operating costs in the shipping industry fell by an average of 0.8% in 2014. This compares with the 0.3% average fall in costs recorde ...
Sunday, 04 October 15
THE INDO-INDIA FREIGHT MARKET REMAINS UNDER PRESSURE
COALspot.com: The BDI closed on Friday (2 Oct 2015) at 889 points, down by 54 points compared to previous Friday's closing ( 24 Sept 2015) of 9 ...
Friday, 02 October 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE UNITED STATES DECREASED THIS WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.5 million shor ...
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PTC India Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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