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Tuesday, 15 September 15
WORLD SEABORNE TRADE: ENTERING INTO A ROLE REVERSAL? - CLARKSONS
 Over the past decade, world seaborne trade growth has been dominated by dry bulk and container trade. However, developments in the global economy this year have led to slower trade growth in these sectors, while oil trade growth, which has accounted for a smaller share of world trade growth over the last decade, has emerged as the largest driver of global trade growth in 2015 so far.
Dry Bulk Slowdown
Dry bulk trade has been one of the fastest growing elements of seaborne trade in the last decade, recording a compound annual growth rate of 5.6% in the 2005-14 period. Expansion in dry bulk trade volumes accounted for an astounding 61% of growth in global seaborne trade during this period. However, this share is projected to fall to 11% in 2015.
Growth in dry bulk trade in the last decade was driven by rapid economic development in China which boosted imports, particularly of iron ore, coal and other minerals. However, this year, Chinese imports have slowed notably, with coal down 31% y-o-y in the first eight months of 2015, due to falling coal demand and coal quality regulations. This is expected to contribute to the first decline in global coal trade in almost 30 years. Meanwhile, iron ore trade is expected to grow at its slowest pace since 2001, partly as global steel output has declined this year.
Mixed Box Signals
Seaborne container trade has also grown at a fairly firm pace in recent years, largely on the back of growing Chinese exports. In 2005-14, box trade growth accounted for 22% of world seaborne trade growth. This share is projected to rise to 30% in 2015 in part due to limited growth in dry bulk trade. However, box trade growth is expected to slow this year. Recent indicators suggest trade volumes on some routes have been fairly weak in the year to date, especially into Europe. Meanwhile, expansion of intra-Asian trade, which has been one of the fastest growing elements of box trade in recent years, has not been as firm as originally expected, due to economic developments in the region this year.
Oil Trade On The Up
Seaborne oil trade has been considered to be fairly mature in recent years, registering average growth of 1% pa in 2005-14. This year, relatively firm growth of 4% is expected, as Chinese crude imports have surged partly in response to low oil prices. Meanwhile, European crude imports have grown this year as refinery margins in the region have improved. Crude imports into Europe are expected to rise 8% y-o-y in full year 2015, following two consecutive years of decline. Consequently, with a downward trend in the trade of other major cargoes, the share of growth in world seaborne trade accounted for by oil trade is expected to rise from 1% in 2010-14 to 40% this year.
Watching the Economy
So, developments in the world economy are having a visible impact, with seaborne trade growth more balanced but slowing. It is clear that these changes are affecting shipping markets, and further revisions to trade projections for this year could yet cement this change in the balance even further.
Source: Clarksons | Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 17 September 15
LOW DEMAND PUSH COAL SWAP DOWN
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery 4Q 2015 declined month on month and gain week over week.
The 4Q swap declined $ 1.77 (-4.17%) ...
Thursday, 17 September 15
MARKET INSIGHT - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
Having experienced, as it was much anticipated, a poor 1st half combined with negative forecasts, summer, in sharp contrast, proved to be more hope ...
Wednesday, 16 September 15
SLOWER GROWTH IN WORLD COAL DEMAND AND LOWER INTERNATIONAL COAL PRICES LED A DECLINE IN INDONESIAN COAL PRODUCTION
COALspot.com: Slower growth in world coal demand particularly China and lower international coal prices have led to a decline in Indonesian coal pr ...
Wednesday, 16 September 15
HIGHER TAXES COULD LEAD GREEK SHIP OWNERS OUT OF THE COUNTRY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
A potential taxation overhaul of the shipping industry in Hellas, which could see the loss of particular tax benefits for ship owners, could lead t ...
Tuesday, 15 September 15
Q2'16 RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS DIP TO $ 51.10 PER TON
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery 4Q' 2015 declined week over week and month over month.
The 4Q swap was down US$ ...
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- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Planning Commission, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The University of Queensland
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
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