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Friday, 07 August 15
COAL PRICE DEVELOPMENTS CAN ONLY BE DESCRIBED, SUCCINCTLY AS "OVERSUPPLY MEETS SUBDUED DEMAND" - VDKI
Coal Outlook 2015 – International
Regarding the outlook for global coal trading, two questions arise: firstly, “ whether the years of growth might now be over” and secondly “ whether the low prices have now bottomed out and are set to develop into a renewed upward trend” - German Coal Importer Association.
According to German Coal Importer Association, the forecasts for the global economy are showing an upward trend for 2015 with anticipated growth of 3.5% in gross domestic product globally, 3.1% in the USA and 1.3% in the Eurozone. As there is a correlation between demand for hard coal and economic growth, the conditions for an upward trend would appear to be present.
According to an estimate by the IEA, demand for coal in the years ahead is going to increase globally by an average of 2.1% per year. In absolute figures, that means an increase in demand from 8,247m tonnes in 2015 to 9,018m tonnes in 2019. The highest level of demand for additional quantities of coal will be shown by China with +661m tonnes and India with +251m tonnes in the five-year period. This means that by 2019, India will have overtaken the United States as a consumer of coal. The pace of growth will then slow down further – from annual growth of 5.3% in the period from 2005 to 2010 to a growth rate still at 2.1% in the period from 2015 to 2019. The lion's share of this growth will take place in the non-OECD states with growth rates of 3% per year.
The association further noted that, the reality is very close to the forecast: preliminary calculations by the VDKi for the first three months of 2015 indicate that the seaborne world market rose by just under 3% (8m tonnes) in comparison with the same period last year. Indonesia (+4m tonnes), Australia (+5m tonnes) and Colombia (+6m tonnes) increased their exports particularly strongly, while the USA (-5m tonnes) and Vietnam (-2m tonnes) cut back their exports. The other countries remained at their 2014 level.
Europe, on the other hand, has an oversupply of steam coal. This situation is accentuated by the further expansion of renewable, particularly in Germany and the UK, which will further reduce the peak use hours and therefore the demand for coal in the hard coal-fired power plants.
Despite these positive figures, the price developments can only be described, succinctly as "oversupply meets subdued demand".
According to presentation of VDKi, the development whereby a global oversupply of coal meets an insufficient increase in demand since 2011 continued in 2014. The pressure on prices consequently persisted in 2014 as well. In the period from January 2014 until today alone (10.7.2015), the prices for steam coal FOB Colombia declined from 72 US$/t to 52 US$/t, i.e. by approximately 30%.
Demand for steam coal in the Atlantic region has likewise remained rather weak between January and the present day. Accordingly, the further development of the price for steam coal will depend largely on the development of the Asian markets in particular, which in turn depend on the needs of China and India. Our research indicates that demand has fallen most markedly in China, while it has increased modestly in India.
All in all, we do not expect to see a significant increase in coal prices in the near future, German Coal Importer Association concluded in its presentation.
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Friday, 03 July 15
SHIPPING CONFIDENCE EQUALS SEVEN-YEAR LOW - MOORE STEPHENS
Overall confidence levels in the shipping industry fell during the three months to May 2015 to a level equal to the lowest rating recorded in the p ...
Thursday, 02 July 15
TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION IN MINING 2015 - IXG
Information Exchange Group’s Technology and Innovation in Mining 2015- International Summit on Mining
Press Release: The inaugural editi ...
Thursday, 02 July 15
THE PERFORMANCE OF THE CAPESIZE SEGMENT PUSHED DRY BULK MARKET TO UPWARD LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market continued its upward movement last week, with the BDI closing off on Friday (26 June) in excess of 800 points, wh ...
Wednesday, 01 July 15
Q4'15 AND Q1'16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS ROSE W-O-W AND M-O-M
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q3' 2015 rose month over month and down week over week.
The Q3 swap was up US$ ...
Wednesday, 01 July 15
BEIJING HAS OFFICIALLY EXTENDED BY TWO YEARS ITS SUBSIDY PROGRAM TO SUPPORT LOCAL SHIPPING COMPANIES IN SCRAPPING THEIR OLD TONNAGE - INTERMODAL
Last week, Beijing has officially extended by two years its subsidy program to support local shipping companies in scrapping their old tonnage in w ...
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Planning Commission, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The University of Queensland
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
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