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Friday, 07 August 15
COAL PRICE DEVELOPMENTS CAN ONLY BE DESCRIBED, SUCCINCTLY AS "OVERSUPPLY MEETS SUBDUED DEMAND" - VDKI
Coal Outlook 2015 – International
Regarding the outlook for global coal trading, two questions arise: firstly, “ whether the years of growth might now be over” and secondly “ whether the low prices have now bottomed out and are set to develop into a renewed upward trend” - German Coal Importer Association.
According to German Coal Importer Association, the forecasts for the global economy are showing an upward trend for 2015 with anticipated growth of 3.5% in gross domestic product globally, 3.1% in the USA and 1.3% in the Eurozone. As there is a correlation between demand for hard coal and economic growth, the conditions for an upward trend would appear to be present.
According to an estimate by the IEA, demand for coal in the years ahead is going to increase globally by an average of 2.1% per year. In absolute figures, that means an increase in demand from 8,247m tonnes in 2015 to 9,018m tonnes in 2019. The highest level of demand for additional quantities of coal will be shown by China with +661m tonnes and India with +251m tonnes in the five-year period. This means that by 2019, India will have overtaken the United States as a consumer of coal. The pace of growth will then slow down further – from annual growth of 5.3% in the period from 2005 to 2010 to a growth rate still at 2.1% in the period from 2015 to 2019. The lion's share of this growth will take place in the non-OECD states with growth rates of 3% per year.
The association further noted that, the reality is very close to the forecast: preliminary calculations by the VDKi for the first three months of 2015 indicate that the seaborne world market rose by just under 3% (8m tonnes) in comparison with the same period last year. Indonesia (+4m tonnes), Australia (+5m tonnes) and Colombia (+6m tonnes) increased their exports particularly strongly, while the USA (-5m tonnes) and Vietnam (-2m tonnes) cut back their exports. The other countries remained at their 2014 level.
Europe, on the other hand, has an oversupply of steam coal. This situation is accentuated by the further expansion of renewable, particularly in Germany and the UK, which will further reduce the peak use hours and therefore the demand for coal in the hard coal-fired power plants.
Despite these positive figures, the price developments can only be described, succinctly as "oversupply meets subdued demand".
According to presentation of VDKi, the development whereby a global oversupply of coal meets an insufficient increase in demand since 2011 continued in 2014. The pressure on prices consequently persisted in 2014 as well. In the period from January 2014 until today alone (10.7.2015), the prices for steam coal FOB Colombia declined from 72 US$/t to 52 US$/t, i.e. by approximately 30%.
Demand for steam coal in the Atlantic region has likewise remained rather weak between January and the present day. Accordingly, the further development of the price for steam coal will depend largely on the development of the Asian markets in particular, which in turn depend on the needs of China and India. Our research indicates that demand has fallen most markedly in China, while it has increased modestly in India.
All in all, we do not expect to see a significant increase in coal prices in the near future, German Coal Importer Association concluded in its presentation.
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Sunday, 12 July 15
SHIPYARD NOT LIABLE FOR ENGINE ROOM FIRE CAUSED BY OIL LEAKAGE - BIRCH WINDAHL
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
A Danish vessel owner requested a Danish shipyard to undertake repairs and maintenance works on its vessel. An agreement ...
Saturday, 11 July 15
MAJOR IRANIAN GAS EXPORTS WILL TAKE AT LEAST FIVE YEARS - FITCH
Iran has the long-term potential to become one of the world's top gas producers, thanks to its 34 trillion cubic meters (tcm) of natural gas re ...
Friday, 10 July 15
DRY BULK MARKET KEEPS POSITIVE MOMENTUM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has kept its positive momentum over the course of the past few days, thanks to Panamax gains. During yesterday’s session ...
Friday, 10 July 15
U.S PRODUCED APPROXIMATELY TOTALED AN ESTIMATED 14.1 MMST WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totaled an estimated 14.1 million short ...
Thursday, 09 July 15
CPP MARKET : POSITIVE IN THE SHORT TERM - GEORGE VASTARDIS
Despite the traditionally quieter summer period, the clean tanker market has so far experienced healthy activity especially East of Suez. Increased ...
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- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
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