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Friday, 07 August 15
COAL PRICE DEVELOPMENTS CAN ONLY BE DESCRIBED, SUCCINCTLY AS "OVERSUPPLY MEETS SUBDUED DEMAND" - VDKI
Coal Outlook 2015 – International
Regarding the outlook for global coal trading, two questions arise: firstly, “ whether the years of growth might now be over” and secondly “ whether the low prices have now bottomed out and are set to develop into a renewed upward trend” - German Coal Importer Association.
According to German Coal Importer Association, the forecasts for the global economy are showing an upward trend for 2015 with anticipated growth of 3.5% in gross domestic product globally, 3.1% in the USA and 1.3% in the Eurozone. As there is a correlation between demand for hard coal and economic growth, the conditions for an upward trend would appear to be present.
According to an estimate by the IEA, demand for coal in the years ahead is going to increase globally by an average of 2.1% per year. In absolute figures, that means an increase in demand from 8,247m tonnes in 2015 to 9,018m tonnes in 2019. The highest level of demand for additional quantities of coal will be shown by China with +661m tonnes and India with +251m tonnes in the five-year period. This means that by 2019, India will have overtaken the United States as a consumer of coal. The pace of growth will then slow down further – from annual growth of 5.3% in the period from 2005 to 2010 to a growth rate still at 2.1% in the period from 2015 to 2019. The lion's share of this growth will take place in the non-OECD states with growth rates of 3% per year.
The association further noted that, the reality is very close to the forecast: preliminary calculations by the VDKi for the first three months of 2015 indicate that the seaborne world market rose by just under 3% (8m tonnes) in comparison with the same period last year. Indonesia (+4m tonnes), Australia (+5m tonnes) and Colombia (+6m tonnes) increased their exports particularly strongly, while the USA (-5m tonnes) and Vietnam (-2m tonnes) cut back their exports. The other countries remained at their 2014 level.
Europe, on the other hand, has an oversupply of steam coal. This situation is accentuated by the further expansion of renewable, particularly in Germany and the UK, which will further reduce the peak use hours and therefore the demand for coal in the hard coal-fired power plants.
Despite these positive figures, the price developments can only be described, succinctly as "oversupply meets subdued demand".
According to presentation of VDKi, the development whereby a global oversupply of coal meets an insufficient increase in demand since 2011 continued in 2014. The pressure on prices consequently persisted in 2014 as well. In the period from January 2014 until today alone (10.7.2015), the prices for steam coal FOB Colombia declined from 72 US$/t to 52 US$/t, i.e. by approximately 30%.
Demand for steam coal in the Atlantic region has likewise remained rather weak between January and the present day. Accordingly, the further development of the price for steam coal will depend largely on the development of the Asian markets in particular, which in turn depend on the needs of China and India. Our research indicates that demand has fallen most markedly in China, while it has increased modestly in India.
All in all, we do not expect to see a significant increase in coal prices in the near future, German Coal Importer Association concluded in its presentation.
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Tuesday, 21 July 15
CHINA'S ENERGY COMMODITY IMPORTS DIVERGING - RICHARD SCOTT | HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Energy commodity imports into China have grown enormously over the past decade, boosting global demand for shipping capacity. But a dramatic change ...
Tuesday, 21 July 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS EXTEND LOSS
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q3 2015 declined month on month and week over week, this past week. The swaps was lost 0.70%.
...
Tuesday, 21 July 15
Q4'15 FOB RBCT COAL SWAP DECLINES NEARLY 3.13 PER CENT MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q3' 2015 declined month over month and week over week.
The Q3 swap was down US$ ...
Monday, 20 July 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP SEE FURTHER DECLINES
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery down $ 1.32 per MT (-2.89%) month over month to US$ 44.43 per mt. The swap ...
Monday, 20 July 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS GAIN WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 1.18 (2.27%) per MT month over month.
A commodity swap ...
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Showing 2911 to 2915 news of total 6871 |
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Australian Coal Association
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Planning Commission, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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