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Wednesday, 05 August 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
 On July 14th, 2015 a historical consensus was reached in Vienna between Iran and the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council, plus Germany (P5+1), to eliminate Tehran’s nuclear program in return for lifting international oil and financial sanctions. The US-Iran deal is the most important breakthrough in their bilateral relationship since 1979, when the Iranian revolution disturbed their relations. In particular, Iran has agreed not to produce any plutonium enriched weapons and additional heavy water reactors for 15 years. The assurance that Iran is satisfying the deal’s commitments will be granted through an extensive UN inspection and observation under the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). It is discussed that assessments and transparency measures may remain in place for as long as 25 years. Expressly, President Obama stated that “this relief will be phased in. Iran must complete key nuclear steps before it begins to receive sanctions relief.”
The markets are already looking towards the challenges, options and prospects that will emerge with the deal being signed. Notably, oil prices fell due to investors’ expectations of an increase in oil exports from Iran to an already oversupplied market. It is estimated that Iran could supply an extra 200k-400k bpd of crude in 2016 on top of a release of 20-40 million barrels from floating storage. The NIOC Managing Director states that if there is enough demand, it is estimated that production could increase by 500k-600k bpd reaching its pre-sanctions level of 4 million bpd within 6 to 12 months. Furthermore, China’s economy is witnessing a growth slow down, while global oil production is close to record highs and thus traders weigh the risk of oil prices possibly falling further.
Furthermore, the agreement will gradually benefit companies that transport Iranian Oil. Once the EU ban on insuring tankers carrying Iranian crude is lifted, imports to countries such as India and Turkey will be comforted and will promote the purchase of contracted volumes. Iran has traditionally been India’s second-largest supplier of crude oil and the prospect of lifting sanctions will also facilitate Pakistan to complete the Iran-Pakistan pipeline. Moreover, it would again be legal for P&I insurance clubs and companies that cover shipowners for several risks to insure Iranian oil cargoes.
Likewise, it is estimated that lifting petrochemical sanctions will permit $1 billion in exports for Iran. The increase in Iranian supplies of oil and gas would trickle down to Europe’s chemical industry, creating a potential game changer for energy-intensive businesses. A traditional player is coming back into the market and preeminently needs to sell, therefore chemical plants of Europe will definitely benefit. Energy companies from Royal Dutch Shell to BP commented after the deal was signed that they were examining their options in a post-sanctions Iran, where production and export potential could expand with the appropriate investment strategies.
Decades of sanctions have inevitably affected the local population and Iranian political setup. With the prospect of sanctions being lifted, Iran’s economic potential will allow for numerous opportunities not only for Iran but also for the wider region, which will directly translate into an increased influence in the Middle East. More importantly, the deal will have some prompt and long-term influence both on global and regional level. The deal will bring out Iran from international isolation. Nevertheless, Iran will have to wait for almost a year to yield the financial returns of the deal, while the six major world powers will most probably reap the benefits of the lower cost of oil immediately.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 24 July 15
U.S PRODUCED 17.2 MMST OF COAL FOR THE WEEK ENDED JULY 18; FELL 11.5% YEAR ON YEAR
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 17.2 million shor ...
Friday, 24 July 15
THE IMPACT OF COLLAPSING CHINESE COAL IMPORTS - CLARKSONS
Global seaborne coal trade is currently projected to drop 1% y-o-y in 2015, which would be the first annual decline in almost three decades. The dr ...
Thursday, 23 July 15
ELEVEN NEW NICKEL SMELTERS ARE TO BE BUILT IN INDONESIA OVER THE NEXT TWO YEARS AT A COST OF $1.4 BILLION
Indonesia’s Most Reputable Nickel Event
Eleven new nickel smelters are to be built in Indonesia over the next two years at a cost of $1. ...
Thursday, 23 July 15
THE CAPESIZE SEGMENT KEPT FOUNDING SUPPORT ON INCREASED DEMAND FROM CHINESE STEEL MILLS - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market closed off on Friday (17July 2015) noting substantial gains and the BDI surpassing the 1,000 points level for the first time af ...
Wednesday, 22 July 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - PANOS TSILINGIRIS | INTERMODAL
In both bulk shipping sectors, there are certain, yet different, reasons and strategies to invest. In the wet, buy once you can charter-out long, w ...
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- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
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