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Wednesday, 05 August 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
 On July 14th, 2015 a historical consensus was reached in Vienna between Iran and the five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council, plus Germany (P5+1), to eliminate Tehran’s nuclear program in return for lifting international oil and financial sanctions. The US-Iran deal is the most important breakthrough in their bilateral relationship since 1979, when the Iranian revolution disturbed their relations. In particular, Iran has agreed not to produce any plutonium enriched weapons and additional heavy water reactors for 15 years. The assurance that Iran is satisfying the deal’s commitments will be granted through an extensive UN inspection and observation under the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). It is discussed that assessments and transparency measures may remain in place for as long as 25 years. Expressly, President Obama stated that “this relief will be phased in. Iran must complete key nuclear steps before it begins to receive sanctions relief.”
The markets are already looking towards the challenges, options and prospects that will emerge with the deal being signed. Notably, oil prices fell due to investors’ expectations of an increase in oil exports from Iran to an already oversupplied market. It is estimated that Iran could supply an extra 200k-400k bpd of crude in 2016 on top of a release of 20-40 million barrels from floating storage. The NIOC Managing Director states that if there is enough demand, it is estimated that production could increase by 500k-600k bpd reaching its pre-sanctions level of 4 million bpd within 6 to 12 months. Furthermore, China’s economy is witnessing a growth slow down, while global oil production is close to record highs and thus traders weigh the risk of oil prices possibly falling further.
Furthermore, the agreement will gradually benefit companies that transport Iranian Oil. Once the EU ban on insuring tankers carrying Iranian crude is lifted, imports to countries such as India and Turkey will be comforted and will promote the purchase of contracted volumes. Iran has traditionally been India’s second-largest supplier of crude oil and the prospect of lifting sanctions will also facilitate Pakistan to complete the Iran-Pakistan pipeline. Moreover, it would again be legal for P&I insurance clubs and companies that cover shipowners for several risks to insure Iranian oil cargoes.
Likewise, it is estimated that lifting petrochemical sanctions will permit $1 billion in exports for Iran. The increase in Iranian supplies of oil and gas would trickle down to Europe’s chemical industry, creating a potential game changer for energy-intensive businesses. A traditional player is coming back into the market and preeminently needs to sell, therefore chemical plants of Europe will definitely benefit. Energy companies from Royal Dutch Shell to BP commented after the deal was signed that they were examining their options in a post-sanctions Iran, where production and export potential could expand with the appropriate investment strategies.
Decades of sanctions have inevitably affected the local population and Iranian political setup. With the prospect of sanctions being lifted, Iran’s economic potential will allow for numerous opportunities not only for Iran but also for the wider region, which will directly translate into an increased influence in the Middle East. More importantly, the deal will have some prompt and long-term influence both on global and regional level. The deal will bring out Iran from international isolation. Nevertheless, Iran will have to wait for almost a year to yield the financial returns of the deal, while the six major world powers will most probably reap the benefits of the lower cost of oil immediately.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 24 August 15
IS CHINA'S STEEL EXPORTS ENOUGH TO SUPPORT THE FREIGHT MARKET? - BIMCO
No, it’s not enough, you will need lower Chinese iron ore production too in order to keep growing imports of iron ore into China that will su ...
Sunday, 23 August 15
SHIPPING FREIGHT RATES FALL SHARPLY ON EXCESS SUPPLY AND LOW DEMAND
COALspot.com: The BDI continued to soften and was down 5.78 pct and falls back below 1000 points this week.
The cape Index lost 17.25 per cent ...
Friday, 21 August 15
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION VOLUME FALLS 8.7% Y-O-Y
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 18.3 million shor ...
Friday, 21 August 15
GLOBALCOAL TO LAUNCH ONLINE TRADING OF PHYSICAL MET COAL ON 13 OCTOBER
On 13 October 2015, globalCOAL will launch an online platform for the physical procurement and trade of high quality hard coking coal delivered FOB ...
Thursday, 20 August 15
COAL PRICES FALL TO 12-YEAR LOWS AS CHINA, INDIA JOIN DEMAND SLOWDOWN - REUTERS
Coal futures have fallen to 12-year lows, hit by soaring production and a slowdown in global buying, including from India and China which until rec ...
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- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- White Energy Company Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Parliament of New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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