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Wednesday, 01 July 15
BEIJING HAS OFFICIALLY EXTENDED BY TWO YEARS ITS SUBSIDY PROGRAM TO SUPPORT LOCAL SHIPPING COMPANIES IN SCRAPPING THEIR OLD TONNAGE - INTERMODAL
 Last week, Beijing has officially extended by two years its subsidy program to support local shipping companies in scrapping their old tonnage in what we hope proves to be a bold move forward to reducing the largest plague of the dry bulk market; overcapacity. Previous measures introduced in 2013 were largely targeted at replacing older tonnage with newer, environment-friendly technologies and the Chinese financial system gave extra incentives through aggressive financial backing to local and international owners. The result is well-known to everyone contributing to a heavy backlog of orders that has sent the freight market spiraling downwards since 2H 2014.
Assuming that the stressed out shipping finance lines do not allow this subsidy to roll-over to new orders, we believe that the joint effect of these actions could be the best news the dry bulk industry has received in months…
Since the beginning of 2015 we have been regularly commenting on the healthy scrap activity experienced in the Capesize sector. However, little progress has been made on smaller sizes and sub-continent scrapyards have shown little appetite for Handies, Handymaxes and even Panamaxes. Looking at the fleet concentration of vintage tonnage (over 15 years of age) one has to recognize two basic facts; Chinese owners are the main Buyer of such vessels and they own a growing percentage of that fleet.
So the impact of the announced measures is that we expect a large number of “overage” vessels controlled by Chinese companies to exit the market and be replaced by the new deliveries that are presently under order.
What does this mean for asset values of such ships in the short-term? Scrap values will go up and sub-continent scrap buyers will have to compete due to reduced supply of tonnage hitting its shores? or second hand values of vessels close to the 15 year mark will fast approach scrap levels (albeit higher ones)? Probably hard to give a definite answer now since all will depend on freight rates development over the next period and of course the net figure of vessels being delivered minus the ones going to demo over the next 3-6 months.
However, one cannot but recognize the largely positive medium-term effect this move would have on Handy, Handymax and Panamax sector and the -admittedly small- net effect upon the Capesize fleet.
p.s. One of the toughest broker’s insights we had yet to write… It is a time for pragmatism and clear, logical thinking to prevail so that Greece and the Eurozone will hand-in-hand overcome the hardships we face today for the common good of all its citizens. We need to find the strength to focus on the things that bring us together rather than the ones that separate us. We sincerely hope the financial crisis that our country is facing will end soon.
By George Dermatis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 15 June 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP: ROSE M-O-M; DECLINED W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 1.43 (2.82%) per MT month over month.
A commodity swap is a ...
Sunday, 14 June 15
THE FREIGHT MARKET FINISHED THE WEEK UP COMPARED TO LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market finished the week up compared to last week. All the segments except for Cape index were up. Cape segment was ...
Friday, 12 June 15
EXPECTATIONS IN REGARDS TO THE SUMMER SEASON VARY ACROSS THE MARKET - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market closed off last slightly up last week, with the BDI re-gaining the 600 points level, while the driving force behind the increas ...
Friday, 12 June 15
U.S. PRODUCED 15.1 MMST OF COAL THIS PAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totaled an estimated 15.1 million short ...
Thursday, 11 June 15
IS COAL INDUSTRY GOING TO HIT A BRICK WALL?
COALspot.com - The Director General of Mineral and Coal of Indonesia revised down Indonesian coal benchmark price once again to US$ 59.59 per MT fo ...
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- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The University of Queensland
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Planning Commission, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
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