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Friday, 15 May 15
DRY BULK AND CONTAINER SHIPPING TO REMAIN WEAK, OUTLOOK FOR PORTS AND TANKERS POSITIVE - DREWRY MARITIME EQUITY RESEARCH
PanamaxGlobal economy is in a gradual recovery mode, sending mixed signals to investors. Chinese economic data continues to remain weak as economy transitions from an investment-led economy to consumption-led. We expect PBOC to continue with monetary easing with weak data prints raising concerns over growth. US GDP grew at an anaemic pace of 0.2% in 1Q15, but jobs data for April was strong. Meanwhile, the manufacturing activity in Eurozone is reviving and deflationary pressures are easing, helping continued economic recovery.

Oil and bunkers:
Oil prices staged a tremendous rally in past month with Brent up almost 50% since their multi year lows. Falling rig numbers in US shale and geopolitical tensions in Yemen helped the market sentiment. However, the increase in OPEC output and refineries’ maintenance in the second quarter will keep oil prices in check, in our view. Lower oil prices will help lower the cash break-even for ship operators.

Gas shipping:
LNG freight rates fell to the lowest since 2010 because of subdued demand and higher vessel supply. Within LPG shipping, VLGC freight rates started picking up on the back of congestion at Indian ports and start of a seasonally strong 2Q15. Freight rates of small-sized vessels also registered marginal improvement. Gas shipping stocks delivered an average return of 6% in April.

Dry bulk shipping:
The dry bulk sector continued to face headwinds due to lack of cargo availability and vessel oversupply. We expect 2015 to remain challenging, even though we are hopeful of a mild recovery in 2016 because of high vessel demolition and lack of new ordering that will favourably tilt the market equilibrium. This is mirrored by stock performance of dry bulk shipping operators vis-à-vis their counterparts in the maritime space such liners, tankers and port operators.

Tankers shipping:
Tanker charter rates have moved northwards on the back of increased non-OECD consumption, higher refinery runs and margins, lower crude oil prices, greater floating storage and tight supply. At high charter rates and lower operating costs, tanker shipping companies are expected to post higher operating revenues and improved net earnings. We expect the sector will continue to outperform the wider shipping sector on firmer rates and underlying earnings momentum.

Port Operators:
Hong Kong-listed port operators underwent rerating in April because of policy implementation. As earnings are expected to take centre stage in May, we remain optimistic that the port sector as a whole will reflect the uptick in global trade and continue to outperform MSCI World Index.
Source: Drewry Maritime Equity Research | Hellenic Shipping


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Tuesday, 05 May 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS MOVE NORTH THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q3' 2015 increased month over month and week over week. The Q3 swap has increas ...


Monday, 04 May 15
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COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery gained US$ 1.38 per MT (3.12%) month over month and US$ 0.93 week on week. ...


Monday, 04 May 15
Q1' 2016 CFR SOUTH CHINA THERMAL COAL SWAP CLOSED HIGH THAN 2015 DERIVATIVES
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.15 (-0.29%) per MT month over month and increased US$ 0.07 ...


Sunday, 03 May 15
DRY BULK INDICES WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market was flat to weak for the week starting from 27 April. The BDI was fell  around 2.17% closed at 580 points. ...


Thursday, 30 April 15
IRON ORE EXPORTS: A DANGEROUS RACE? - CLARKSONS
The surge in iron ore exports in recent years has resulted in a significant decrease in iron ore spot prices, which dipped to a ten year low of bel ...


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