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Wednesday, 06 May 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE ILIOPOULOS
 The first four months of 2015 are now behind us and they make up for a decent amount of time to look back and assess how the year is evolving so far and what could be possible ahead. January kicked off very quietly as far as SnP activity is concerned especially for dry bulk sale candidates, a big part of which remained for sale for quite some time or was withdrawn altogether from the market. In this environment, second hand prices remained under pressure for quite a while but not as long as some were actually waiting for.
As a matter of fact, as q1 came to an end we started seeing a rebound in activity with a number of prominent Greek owners once again inspecting modern Panamax/Kamsarmax/Supramax and it seems that we could now be at a turning point as far as dry bulk asset values are concerned.
A representative sale of this recent trend is the “TORM ISLAND” (82kdwt blt 10 Japan), which gathered a lot of interest and was eventually sold at levels in xs of USD 18.0m, which is around 7% higher than what her sister vessel “TORM TRADER” (82kdwt blt 10 Japan) managed to fetch about a month earlier. In addition the “TORM ISLAND” was rumored to be inspected by more than 10 owners, most of which were Greek who were sitting on the sidelines during the past couple of years and now seem to have turned their interest in modern tonnage that seems to be on a substantial discount.
Looking at the latest sales one could be reservedly optimistic that prices appear to be stabilizing, while the most recent sales are definitely not below the respective last dones, which is pretty much what we were seeing during the past six months. This is without a doubt a positive sign as the free fall of dry bulk asset prices had caused a mini panic all around, and while it is still uncertain how things will evolve it is currently proving a much needed breather to the market. At the same time we are noticing that as far as modern sale candidates are concerned, competition between Buyers seems strong, which is resulting in higher prices in the last two Kamsarmax sales that took place. Nonetheless if one compares these prices with Sellers ideas for similar tonnage in spring last year, it is evident why current prices appear attractive.
For example a 5-yr old Japanese Kamsarmax was sold at around USD 28.0m in April 2014, which is a hefty 55% higher than the levels for similar tonnage with SS/DD passed today. At the same time it is also interesting to see that the number of up to 10-yr old Supramax up to Panamax Japanese candidates on the market is exceptionally small which is resulting to even higher competition for these ships. Saying that, when it comes to Chinese tonnage, the last six sales that took place during the past month were indeed low, with a couple of representative examples being the “HUI AN HAI”(32kdwt blt 10 China) which was sold at USD 6.8m and the “NEW SAILING STAR” (32kdwt blt10 China) which was sold for even less at around USD 6.5m.
Given the pressure the freight market remains under, it seems that prices are showing some sort of resistance for now. The million dollar question remains whether this is the bottom or if there is more downside. But if one looks at recent sales together with Buyers’ behavior on the SnP side lately, these are both hinting that market belief is that a bottom has been reached or is about to be reached. The sales that will take place next will obviously clear up any doubt.
By George Iliopoulos
SnP Broker, Intermodal
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 05 May 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS MOVE NORTH THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q3' 2015 increased month over month and week over week.
The Q3 swap has increas ...
Monday, 04 May 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP Q1'16 PRICES SLIGHTLY LOWER COMPARED TO Q3'15 PRICE
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery gained US$ 1.38 per MT (3.12%) month over month and US$ 0.93 week on week. ...
Monday, 04 May 15
Q1' 2016 CFR SOUTH CHINA THERMAL COAL SWAP CLOSED HIGH THAN 2015 DERIVATIVES
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.15 (-0.29%) per MT month over month and increased US$ 0.07 ...
Sunday, 03 May 15
DRY BULK INDICES WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market was flat to weak for the week starting from 27 April. The BDI was fell around 2.17% closed at 580 points.
...
Thursday, 30 April 15
IRON ORE EXPORTS: A DANGEROUS RACE? - CLARKSONS
The surge in iron ore exports in recent years has resulted in a significant decrease in iron ore spot prices, which dipped to a ten year low of bel ...
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- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Planning Commission, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The University of Queensland
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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