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Wednesday, 29 April 15
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
IntermodalThe figures of China’s slowing down imports of coking coal for the first quarter of the year are coming to confirm what everybody was expecting to see, since the government has been actively supporting the country’s shift to using cleaner energy resources. Australia is currently the major producer who suffers from this slowdown of Chinese imports; however the land Down Under still remains the main supplier of coking coal for China.

During the first quarter of the year, the total import of coking coal was 10.92 mil mt, a figure that represents a drop of 16% compare to the last quarter of 2014. It is worth mentioning that the imported quantity during March was reduced by 21% compared to the same month last year and 26% compared to February 2015.

On the other hand, according with China’s custom reports, China imported 80.51 mil mt of Iron Ore in March 2015 which is a substantial increase of 8.85% compared to last month. In total, China imported 23mil mt of Iron ore during the first quarter of the year, which is higher by 2.4% compared to the same quarter in 2014. Despite this uptrend in iron ore imports fundamentals still remain somewhat challenging for the trade, as demand of steel in the local market is still not meeting expectations of a healthy market with end users still lacking positive sentiment for the market going forward,  which in turn translates into cautious purchasing.

Together with the above negative prospects comes the poor freight market of the last six months, which drove many Chinese Ship Owners to divert their interest from mid 90’s Panamax vessels to smaller tonnages and especially to mid 90’s Handymaxes. That new demand came together with some Middle East interest, which managed to raise this specific market around 10%. According to the last done, a Japanese 95 blt Handymax with SS/DD due should be in the region of USD 4.25mil, while a couple of months ago it was reported at around USD 3.8mil.

On the other hand in the mid – high 90’s Panamaxes every last done comes in lower levels than the previous one. It is worth mentioning, that Panamax tonnages presently circulating in the market, are significant more than any other dry bulk size segment and their price ideas are related to their demo value plus some premium always depending on the exact age of the ship.

For the younger/modern Panamax/Kamsarmax tonnages, activity remains high with many Greek buyers inspecting/offering, however most Sellers, especially Japanese, are still holding back as they are not considering the low levels they see, expecting an improved market in the near future, which hopefully will come soon on the back of this extended period of poor freight rates ending.

Since our Shanghai office always tries to maintain a positive thinking and focus on the positive aspects of life no matter what is happening in the market, we would like to conclude this report giving our Warmest Wishes, to our Shanghai colleague Yonan Wang and to our Athens’ colleague Konstantinos Kontomichis as they are both getting married this weekend.  
By Shanghai Office SnP Team
Intermodal


Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations


Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima


Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.

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