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Wednesday, 08 April 15
CHINA BURNS HALF OF THE WORLD'S COAL - CHRISTOPHER T. WHITTY
Intermodal Weekly Market Update
China is the world's largest consumer of coal, using more coal each year than the United States, the European Union, and Japan combined. Coal power has been the dominant source of energy used to fuel the rapid economic development of China in the past two decades, with significant impact on its physical environment and human population. China relies on coal power for approximately 70-80% of its energy, with 45% used for the industrial sector and the remainder used to generate electricity. Nevertheless, China has been slowly entering into a new era where clean-fuel policies and new regulations are being implemented.
China burns half of the world’s coal and has caused more than half of total CO2 growth globally for the past decade, and many believe that the reversal in coal use may represent a significant progress in slowing down climate change. According to the China Electricity Council, utilization rates at China’s thermal power plants fired by coal, natural gas and oil, are set to fall further this year. Beijing is aiming to raise the share of non-fossil fuels in primary energy use to 15% in 2020, up from 11.2%last year.
Lower coal use is already evident in China with power companies using a greater mix of hydro, nuclear and renewable options, especially wind. China’s coal imports fell 11% in 2014 compared to the previous year, the first annual decline in at least a decade. Lignite, thermal and metallurgical coal, hit a 43-month low of 16.78 million mt in January, falling 53.2% year on year – the seventh consecutive year-on-year decline and the biggest decline in the past 15 years.
The Australian and Indonesian coal exporters are obviously focusing on the world’s largest consumer of the fuel and they also have to deal with the quality checks under the new ash and Sulphur restrictions. As a result of this uncertainty, some are even holding back shipments to China.
Australian coal, which is considered the benchmark for Asia, slumped 30% last year and dropped below $60/tonne this month, the lowest level since May 2007. With both imports and prices of the commodity falling further and unless something changes dramatically in the future, it looks like coal will lose its position in the fossil fuel markets. As a result, freight rates for Panamaxes and Kamsarmaxes will most likely continue to be adversely affected.
Some say that the Indian market will still exhibit wide scale demand for the continued importing of coal at a large scale but, on the other hand, they will never push up prices. Indian power plants have their own limitations and they are not free to pass any rise in coal prices through to consumers. Still, in Indian East Coast ports coal stockpiles are rising up to record levels and the power plants are only buying as much as required from these huge reserves in major ports. Coal stocks at 16 main Indian ports were at 16.48 million metric tons as of March 20, whereas at the end of March last year, coal stocks were a mere 7.7 million metric tons.
From our side we can only hope that Asian countries and mainly China will continue to depend on coal at least for the next couple of years. It should take considerable time for China’s transition to more clean sources of energy to run its power plants. But on top of that we would also like to see the price of the commodity at sustainable levels that can support the industry and consequently demand for seaborne trade.
Christopher T. Whitty
Marketing Manager - Harbour Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 03 March 15
Q4' FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED 2% LOWER COMPARED TO Q2 CLOSING PRICE OF $ 47.47
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 rose month on month and declined week over week.
The Q2 swap increased US$ 2.24 ...
Tuesday, 03 March 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS: Q2 UP 9.60%; Q3 UP 9.75% W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 surge month over month and week on week.
The Q2 swap has soared US$ 5 ...
Monday, 02 March 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR Q2 DELIVERY REACHED $ 57.50 PMT W/E 27 FEB 2015
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 1.37 (+2.44%) per MT month over month and declined US$ 0.42  ...
Monday, 02 March 15
BORYEONG POWER PLANT OF KOMIPO TO IMPORT 140K OF SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL FOR Q2
COALspot.com - Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd. (KOMIPO) is inviting bids from coal producers, marketing companies, or traders to supply of 140,000 (70 ...
Monday, 02 March 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP ROSE 6.89% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 3.35 per MT (+6.89%) month over month and US$ 0.40 (0.78%) week on ...
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- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The University of Queensland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
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