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Wednesday, 08 April 15
CHINA BURNS HALF OF THE WORLD'S COAL - CHRISTOPHER T. WHITTY
Intermodal Weekly Market Update
China is the world's largest consumer of coal, using more coal each year than the United States, the European Union, and Japan combined. Coal power has been the dominant source of energy used to fuel the rapid economic development of China in the past two decades, with significant impact on its physical environment and human population. China relies on coal power for approximately 70-80% of its energy, with 45% used for the industrial sector and the remainder used to generate electricity. Nevertheless, China has been slowly entering into a new era where clean-fuel policies and new regulations are being implemented.
China burns half of the world’s coal and has caused more than half of total CO2 growth globally for the past decade, and many believe that the reversal in coal use may represent a significant progress in slowing down climate change. According to the China Electricity Council, utilization rates at China’s thermal power plants fired by coal, natural gas and oil, are set to fall further this year. Beijing is aiming to raise the share of non-fossil fuels in primary energy use to 15% in 2020, up from 11.2%last year.
Lower coal use is already evident in China with power companies using a greater mix of hydro, nuclear and renewable options, especially wind. China’s coal imports fell 11% in 2014 compared to the previous year, the first annual decline in at least a decade. Lignite, thermal and metallurgical coal, hit a 43-month low of 16.78 million mt in January, falling 53.2% year on year – the seventh consecutive year-on-year decline and the biggest decline in the past 15 years.
The Australian and Indonesian coal exporters are obviously focusing on the world’s largest consumer of the fuel and they also have to deal with the quality checks under the new ash and Sulphur restrictions. As a result of this uncertainty, some are even holding back shipments to China.
Australian coal, which is considered the benchmark for Asia, slumped 30% last year and dropped below $60/tonne this month, the lowest level since May 2007. With both imports and prices of the commodity falling further and unless something changes dramatically in the future, it looks like coal will lose its position in the fossil fuel markets. As a result, freight rates for Panamaxes and Kamsarmaxes will most likely continue to be adversely affected.
Some say that the Indian market will still exhibit wide scale demand for the continued importing of coal at a large scale but, on the other hand, they will never push up prices. Indian power plants have their own limitations and they are not free to pass any rise in coal prices through to consumers. Still, in Indian East Coast ports coal stockpiles are rising up to record levels and the power plants are only buying as much as required from these huge reserves in major ports. Coal stocks at 16 main Indian ports were at 16.48 million metric tons as of March 20, whereas at the end of March last year, coal stocks were a mere 7.7 million metric tons.
From our side we can only hope that Asian countries and mainly China will continue to depend on coal at least for the next couple of years. It should take considerable time for China’s transition to more clean sources of energy to run its power plants. But on top of that we would also like to see the price of the commodity at sustainable levels that can support the industry and consequently demand for seaborne trade.
Christopher T. Whitty
Marketing Manager - Harbour Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 22 April 15
TANKER MARKET INSIGHT - STRATOS TINIAKOS
The current environment we experience as a result of low crude oil prices is characterized by the increased demand for petroleum products in OECD c ...
Tuesday, 21 April 15
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP: GAINED W-O-W; DECLINED M-O-M
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q2 2015 gained week over week and declined month on month.
The Q2 swap was declined US$ 1.75 ( ...
Tuesday, 21 April 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP MOVE UP SLIGHTLY
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 increased slightly month over month.
The Q2 swap has increased US$ 0.2 ...
Monday, 20 April 15
BUKIT ASAM TAKES OVER STAKE IN JV FROM RAJAWALI - JP
State-owned coal miner PT Bukit Asam (PTBA) announced Friday that it had taken over almost the entire stake in a joint venture (JV) that it created ...
Monday, 20 April 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP GAINED WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 3.54 per MT (-7.21%) month over month and gained US$ 0.30 week ...
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Planning Commission, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Coal Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
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