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Wednesday, 08 April 15
CHINA BURNS HALF OF THE WORLD'S COAL - CHRISTOPHER T. WHITTY
Intermodal Weekly Market Update
China is the world's largest consumer of coal, using more coal each year than the United States, the European Union, and Japan combined. Coal power has been the dominant source of energy used to fuel the rapid economic development of China in the past two decades, with significant impact on its physical environment and human population. China relies on coal power for approximately 70-80% of its energy, with 45% used for the industrial sector and the remainder used to generate electricity. Nevertheless, China has been slowly entering into a new era where clean-fuel policies and new regulations are being implemented.
China burns half of the world’s coal and has caused more than half of total CO2 growth globally for the past decade, and many believe that the reversal in coal use may represent a significant progress in slowing down climate change. According to the China Electricity Council, utilization rates at China’s thermal power plants fired by coal, natural gas and oil, are set to fall further this year. Beijing is aiming to raise the share of non-fossil fuels in primary energy use to 15% in 2020, up from 11.2%last year.
Lower coal use is already evident in China with power companies using a greater mix of hydro, nuclear and renewable options, especially wind. China’s coal imports fell 11% in 2014 compared to the previous year, the first annual decline in at least a decade. Lignite, thermal and metallurgical coal, hit a 43-month low of 16.78 million mt in January, falling 53.2% year on year – the seventh consecutive year-on-year decline and the biggest decline in the past 15 years.
The Australian and Indonesian coal exporters are obviously focusing on the world’s largest consumer of the fuel and they also have to deal with the quality checks under the new ash and Sulphur restrictions. As a result of this uncertainty, some are even holding back shipments to China.
Australian coal, which is considered the benchmark for Asia, slumped 30% last year and dropped below $60/tonne this month, the lowest level since May 2007. With both imports and prices of the commodity falling further and unless something changes dramatically in the future, it looks like coal will lose its position in the fossil fuel markets. As a result, freight rates for Panamaxes and Kamsarmaxes will most likely continue to be adversely affected.
Some say that the Indian market will still exhibit wide scale demand for the continued importing of coal at a large scale but, on the other hand, they will never push up prices. Indian power plants have their own limitations and they are not free to pass any rise in coal prices through to consumers. Still, in Indian East Coast ports coal stockpiles are rising up to record levels and the power plants are only buying as much as required from these huge reserves in major ports. Coal stocks at 16 main Indian ports were at 16.48 million metric tons as of March 20, whereas at the end of March last year, coal stocks were a mere 7.7 million metric tons.
From our side we can only hope that Asian countries and mainly China will continue to depend on coal at least for the next couple of years. It should take considerable time for China’s transition to more clean sources of energy to run its power plants. But on top of that we would also like to see the price of the commodity at sustainable levels that can support the industry and consequently demand for seaborne trade.
Christopher T. Whitty
Marketing Manager - Harbour Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 11 May 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP; INCREASED M-O-M; DECLINED W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery gained US$ 0.62 per MT (1.41%) month over month and lost US$ 0.88 week on w ...
Monday, 11 May 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP: DECLINED MOM AND WOW
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.46 (-0.90%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.28 (0. ...
Monday, 11 May 15
KOREA MIDLAND POWER INVITES BIDS FOR 140K MT OF 4600 NAR COAL
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a new tender to buy total 140,000 Metric Tons (MT) of Sub-bitumi ...
Sunday, 10 May 15
FREIGHT RATES TO REMAIN SOFT NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market was flat to soft week over week except for the Cape Index which was up 7.32%. Cape index was closed at 616 p ...
Friday, 08 May 15
BUSIEST CAPESIZE DEMOLITION MARKET EVER - BIMCO
The activity on the demolition market is off to a good start in 2015 when looking at dry bulk tonnage.
The dry bulk market has long suffered f ...
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- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Planning Commission, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
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