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Wednesday, 01 April 15
WEEKLY SHIPPING MARKET UPDATE - INTERMODAL
 There is no doubt that we are still witnessing a very challenging and at the same time very uncertain market, both with respect to dry chartering as well as SnP activity. As far as the latter is concerned, we observe a strong nega-tive trend in asset prices that has kicked off back in mid-2014, but which has nevertheless still hasn’t convinced buying interest to the extent that one would think. This trend affects all segments and ages with the most repre-sentative examples those of the 10-year old Panamax and the 5-year old Cape, the prices of which are currently at a massive discount compared to a year ago.
The obvious question that rises among the majority of shipowners and po-tential investors is whether this is the right time to invest in second hand vessels or not, but this time round the argument for investing is very hard to make as the present earnings from the very depressed freight market are at levels that in many cases fail to even cover operation expenses.
So does buying a ship at a low freight market entail a substantial risk? The answer is a definitive yes, but as it has happened many times in the past, such risks have proven to be excellent investment choices when improved freight levels finally take place following a market recovery. The million dol-lar question is as always what is the best time for such investments, and one that cannot be answered as the “perfect timing” or “accurately calling the bottom” is a very rare occurrence in this market to begin with.
When looking at the very low asset prices and the fairly intense buying inter-est of the last month, especially for vessels build post 1990, one could ob-serve that some key players are eager to buy at the lowest price they can achieve right now, having in mind that the BDI has reached its historical bottom recently and a gradual rise is bound to happen even at a pace that might not secure immediate profit for shipowners.
At the same time, the oversupply of available tonnage in the dry market remains a very important issue, especially if one takes into account the num-ber of bulkers that are due to be delivered this year following the ordering spree of 2013. Slippage and cancellation might help this number eventually come in lower than expected, while on top of that, intense demolition activi-ty is already offering hopes for a much needed breather in the dry bulk mar-ket, despite the fact that demo prices are currently in the range of $360-380/ldt. Although a slight increase in steel prices has been observed in the past couple of weeks this is not yet reflected in demo prices, but if it eventu-ally does, we expect the number of bulkers heading for scrapped to acceler-ate.
To sum up despite the fact that the dry market is not currently showing signs of a recovery being just around the corner, I believe that we will sooner rather than later observe more intense buying interest being transformed into actual deals, especially for vessels that are easier to charter these days and still manage to do so over OPEX levels, such as geared sizes build after 2000.
By Panos Makrinos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 11 May 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP; INCREASED M-O-M; DECLINED W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery gained US$ 0.62 per MT (1.41%) month over month and lost US$ 0.88 week on w ...
Monday, 11 May 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP: DECLINED MOM AND WOW
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 0.46 (-0.90%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.28 (0. ...
Monday, 11 May 15
KOREA MIDLAND POWER INVITES BIDS FOR 140K MT OF 4600 NAR COAL
COALspot.com: South Korean state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a new tender to buy total 140,000 Metric Tons (MT) of Sub-bitumi ...
Sunday, 10 May 15
FREIGHT RATES TO REMAIN SOFT NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market was flat to soft week over week except for the Cape Index which was up 7.32%. Cape index was closed at 616 p ...
Friday, 08 May 15
BUSIEST CAPESIZE DEMOLITION MARKET EVER - BIMCO
The activity on the demolition market is off to a good start in 2015 when looking at dry bulk tonnage.
The dry bulk market has long suffered f ...
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- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
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