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Wednesday, 01 April 15
WEEKLY SHIPPING MARKET UPDATE - INTERMODAL
 There is no doubt that we are still witnessing a very challenging and at the same time very uncertain market, both with respect to dry chartering as well as SnP activity. As far as the latter is concerned, we observe a strong nega-tive trend in asset prices that has kicked off back in mid-2014, but which has nevertheless still hasn’t convinced buying interest to the extent that one would think. This trend affects all segments and ages with the most repre-sentative examples those of the 10-year old Panamax and the 5-year old Cape, the prices of which are currently at a massive discount compared to a year ago.
The obvious question that rises among the majority of shipowners and po-tential investors is whether this is the right time to invest in second hand vessels or not, but this time round the argument for investing is very hard to make as the present earnings from the very depressed freight market are at levels that in many cases fail to even cover operation expenses.
So does buying a ship at a low freight market entail a substantial risk? The answer is a definitive yes, but as it has happened many times in the past, such risks have proven to be excellent investment choices when improved freight levels finally take place following a market recovery. The million dol-lar question is as always what is the best time for such investments, and one that cannot be answered as the “perfect timing” or “accurately calling the bottom” is a very rare occurrence in this market to begin with.
When looking at the very low asset prices and the fairly intense buying inter-est of the last month, especially for vessels build post 1990, one could ob-serve that some key players are eager to buy at the lowest price they can achieve right now, having in mind that the BDI has reached its historical bottom recently and a gradual rise is bound to happen even at a pace that might not secure immediate profit for shipowners.
At the same time, the oversupply of available tonnage in the dry market remains a very important issue, especially if one takes into account the num-ber of bulkers that are due to be delivered this year following the ordering spree of 2013. Slippage and cancellation might help this number eventually come in lower than expected, while on top of that, intense demolition activi-ty is already offering hopes for a much needed breather in the dry bulk mar-ket, despite the fact that demo prices are currently in the range of $360-380/ldt. Although a slight increase in steel prices has been observed in the past couple of weeks this is not yet reflected in demo prices, but if it eventu-ally does, we expect the number of bulkers heading for scrapped to acceler-ate.
To sum up despite the fact that the dry market is not currently showing signs of a recovery being just around the corner, I believe that we will sooner rather than later observe more intense buying interest being transformed into actual deals, especially for vessels that are easier to charter these days and still manage to do so over OPEX levels, such as geared sizes build after 2000.
By Panos Makrinos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 26 August 15
2Q'16 FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP FALLS NEARLY 4.76 PER CENT M-O-M
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery 4Q 2015 declined month on month and week over week.
The 4Q swap was declined $ 2.20 (-5.13%) p ...
Tuesday, 25 August 15
INDONESIA MINERS' NPLS TO RISE FURTHER, BANK RISKS BUILD - FITCH
The NPLs of Indonesian mine and mine services companies are likely to rise further in the short term, says Fitch Ratings, after reaching multi-year ...
Tuesday, 25 August 15
MINER'S EARNINGS DROP ON FALLING COAL PRICES; Q2'16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 52.23 A TON
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery 4Q' 2015 declined month over month and week over week.
The 4Q swap was down US$ ...
Monday, 24 August 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS HIT FRESH LOW, DIPPING BELOW $42 A TON
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery down $ 2.20 per MT (-5.01%) month over month to US$ 41.70 per mt. The swap ...
Monday, 24 August 15
Q1'16 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 48.65 PMT
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery declined just US$ 1.89 (3.74%) per MT month over month.
A commodity ...
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- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- White Energy Company Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Australian Coal Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Planning Commission, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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