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Saturday, 28 March 15
THE DRY BULK FLEET AT BREAKING POINT - CLARKSONS
 The severe oversupply in the bulkcarrier fleet has contributed to the current trough in the dry bulk market, putting considerable financial pressure on owners, many of whom are subject to earnings close to operating costs. This has triggered a surge in bulkcarrier demolition since the beginning of 2015. If the current rate of scrapping were to continue, there would be a clear impact on dry bulk fleet growth.
A Surge In Scrapping
Bulker demolition has surged in recent months, due to an oversupplied fleet, cooling global dry bulk trade growth and low vessel earnings. A total of 78 vessels (of a combined 5.9m dwt) were reported scrapped in the first two months of 2015, equivalent to 35% of total bulkcarrier demolition in 2014. Capesize scrapping totalled 3.3m dwt, accounting for 56% of all bulker demolition in the two month period, already equivalent to around 80% of scrapping in the sector last year. The average age at which bulker vessels were scrapped has thus fallen to below 25 years for the first time this century.
How Does It Compare?
The annual record level of bulker demolition was 33.4m dwt in 2012, coinciding with a 30% y-o-y drop in average earnings. While earnings were weak, some market indicators were considerably better than they are today. Seaborne dry bulk trade grew 7% (with 3% projected for this year) and the Baltic Dry Index averaged over 900, far above the record low of 509 reached in February 2015. In the first two months of 2015 overall bulker earnings averaged $6,545/day: around $2,000/day less than the annual average for 2012. It is therefore perhaps no surprise that demolition is surging.
The Uneven Distribution
There are several potential impacts of growth in demolition. The Chinese bulkcarrier fleet shrank in 2014, partly due to the government scrapping subsidy. The subsidy is currently set to end this year and with many of the vessels scrapped in the year to date being Chinese-owned, this could shrink the Chinese fleet further. Also, the faster pace of Handysize demolition in Q1 2015 has led the Handymax sector to consolidate its position as the largest in the dry bulk fleet in terms of vessel numbers.
An Interesting Scenario
One very important impact of the surge is the potential stemming of fleet growth. Total bulker scrapping is currently projected to increase by around 30% y-o-y, to reach 21.2m dwt in 2015. However, at the current pace of scrapping, demolition in Q1 2015 could approach a record level, and in the full year, over 35m dwt of bulkers would be scrapped, more than doubling last year’s total. This could slow growth in the bulkcarrier fleet to around 2.5% y-o-y, which would represent the slowest rate in more than a decade. In this scenario Capesize fleet growth would be limited to around 2-3%.
So demolition is surging, and could approach record levels, altering the make-up of the bulker fleet, in terms of age, the distribution across sectors and owner nationality. And whether records are broken or not this year, the increase in demolition will have a clear impact on the rate of fleet expansion.
Source: Clarksons | Hellenic Shipping News
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Tuesday, 30 December 14
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ALMOST FLAT AT -0.2%
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.8 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Monday, 29 December 14
CHINESE COAL IMPORTS: REGULATORY RISKS? - CLARKSONS
In recent years, Chinese seaborne coal imports have surged, registering average growth of 67% p.a. between 2009 and 2013 to total 265mt. However, t ...
Monday, 29 December 14
BULK MARKET ENDS YEAR ON SOUR NOTE, SHIPBROKER SEES 'BUMPY ROAD AHEAD' - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
2014 was supposed to be the year that the dry bulk market would stage a comeback and a sustainable one for that matter. However, while for the most ...
Monday, 29 December 14
Q1'15 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $59.42
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased by US$ 3.51 (-5.58%) month over month and US$ 0.08 (-0.13%) ...
Monday, 29 December 14
SGX'S FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS IMPROVED W-O-W, LOST M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 1.44 per MT (-2.73%) month over month and gained US$ 0.36 (+0.71%) ...
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- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- White Energy Company Limited
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PTC India Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
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