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Saturday, 28 March 15
THE DRY BULK FLEET AT BREAKING POINT - CLARKSONS
 The severe oversupply in the bulkcarrier fleet has contributed to the current trough in the dry bulk market, putting considerable financial pressure on owners, many of whom are subject to earnings close to operating costs. This has triggered a surge in bulkcarrier demolition since the beginning of 2015. If the current rate of scrapping were to continue, there would be a clear impact on dry bulk fleet growth.
A Surge In Scrapping
Bulker demolition has surged in recent months, due to an oversupplied fleet, cooling global dry bulk trade growth and low vessel earnings. A total of 78 vessels (of a combined 5.9m dwt) were reported scrapped in the first two months of 2015, equivalent to 35% of total bulkcarrier demolition in 2014. Capesize scrapping totalled 3.3m dwt, accounting for 56% of all bulker demolition in the two month period, already equivalent to around 80% of scrapping in the sector last year. The average age at which bulker vessels were scrapped has thus fallen to below 25 years for the first time this century.
How Does It Compare?
The annual record level of bulker demolition was 33.4m dwt in 2012, coinciding with a 30% y-o-y drop in average earnings. While earnings were weak, some market indicators were considerably better than they are today. Seaborne dry bulk trade grew 7% (with 3% projected for this year) and the Baltic Dry Index averaged over 900, far above the record low of 509 reached in February 2015. In the first two months of 2015 overall bulker earnings averaged $6,545/day: around $2,000/day less than the annual average for 2012. It is therefore perhaps no surprise that demolition is surging.
The Uneven Distribution
There are several potential impacts of growth in demolition. The Chinese bulkcarrier fleet shrank in 2014, partly due to the government scrapping subsidy. The subsidy is currently set to end this year and with many of the vessels scrapped in the year to date being Chinese-owned, this could shrink the Chinese fleet further. Also, the faster pace of Handysize demolition in Q1 2015 has led the Handymax sector to consolidate its position as the largest in the dry bulk fleet in terms of vessel numbers.
An Interesting Scenario
One very important impact of the surge is the potential stemming of fleet growth. Total bulker scrapping is currently projected to increase by around 30% y-o-y, to reach 21.2m dwt in 2015. However, at the current pace of scrapping, demolition in Q1 2015 could approach a record level, and in the full year, over 35m dwt of bulkers would be scrapped, more than doubling last year’s total. This could slow growth in the bulkcarrier fleet to around 2.5% y-o-y, which would represent the slowest rate in more than a decade. In this scenario Capesize fleet growth would be limited to around 2-3%.
So demolition is surging, and could approach record levels, altering the make-up of the bulker fleet, in terms of age, the distribution across sectors and owner nationality. And whether records are broken or not this year, the increase in demolition will have a clear impact on the rate of fleet expansion.
Source: Clarksons | Hellenic Shipping News
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Sunday, 08 March 15
FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA IS TRENDING UP
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to see gains this week and all the indices were rose except for Cape index. The BDI was increased 4.62 p ...
Friday, 06 March 15
BALTIC DRY INDEX: IS THIS POWERFUL INDICATOR SIGNALING A GLOBAL RECESSION? - STREET AUTHORITY
Although memories of the Great Recession linger, a case can be made that better days lie ahead.
That’s because central banks around the ...
Friday, 06 March 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ROSE 3.5% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.1 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 05 March 15
PANAMAX : THE ATLANTIC ROUND IS NOW PAYING AROUND US$ 5K PER DAY
COALspot.com: Handy - The activity in the handy/supra segment is back. “ We see more fresh cargo in the market for 2nd half March dates ...
Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says I ...
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- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- White Energy Company Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
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