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Thursday, 26 March 15
CHINA IRON ORE IMPORT FOR THE FIRST 2 MONTHS DECLINED BY 1.2 % Y-O-Y; PANAMAX AUSSIE/CHINA ROUNDS BEING FIXED IN THE $4 -5K RANGE - FEARNLEYS
FearnleysHandy
There has been more activity in both hemispheres this week. Especially the USG market has picked up with more cargoes for prompter dates entering the market. Some charters has been covering their forward cargos on COA´s and it seems we have been at the bottom for now, said Fearnleys in its this week’s shipping report.

According the broker, the grain season is picking up in South America and giving support to the increasing freight level. TA´s are now being fixed at around US$ 7200 while trips from USG to Continent are being fixed in excess of $10k while same trip to East Med are being fixed at around US$ 12k. In the Pacific we also see increased activity with coal cargos direction India is paying up and the NoPac rv cargos are being fixed in the 6/7k area. Supported by the improved spot market the period market is gaining strength. Smax´s with good specs are being fixed in the high 8´s for short period whereas 1 year periods are being covered in the mid/upper 8´s as well.

Panamax
Fearnleys commented on Panamax that, this week started with some more activity in Atlantic, few more coal and iron ore orders gave small hope to a generally flat and uninspired panama market. However the rates remained flat from last week. Rates still hovering around $4000 for Atlantic biz.

“ With the upcoming European Easter we expect Atlantic to slow down. We see the grain from ECSA paying still in the $12000 + 200k bb. The period activity remain slow and only a few medium periods 4 to 7 months delivery feast reported in the $7700-7750 range, “ said Fearnleys.

Aussie/China rounds being fixed in the $4500 -5000 range, while the grains from Aussie to China paying $6500. China iron ore import for the first 2 months declined by 1.2 % compared with 2014. Continues oversupply of prompt tonnage keeping the rates under pressure. As for now only increased grain volumes can boost the rates on
short term.

Capesize
Still no sign of light for the big ships, and as prompt units pile up in Far Eastern hubs it is getting hard to distinguish between temporary idling and "warm" layup. Although official average daily earnings stand at an already poor $4300 for 180000-tonners, actual figures for the trading capsize fleet are substantially lower when waiting time and unemployment are factored in. Coal trading is moderate but not in complete limbo, iron ore flows are below industry capacity but in line with predictions - the problem is and remains a grotesque oversupply of tonnage. Period activity is low and almost without exemption with an index-linked component to allow for potential forward upside, recently exemplified by 180000 dwt/built 2009 done for 12-15 months at BCI AVE4TC +5%, Fearnleys concluded on cape.


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