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Wednesday, 18 March 15
PARKING THE CAPES - LINOS KOGEVINAS
 It is no secret that recent times have been anything but kind towards shipping, and no sector has suffered more lately than the dry bulk one. While we have seen various correctional signals for the wet sector (especially for the MR and VLCC segments), the dry market has had very few reasons to be hopeful. The BDI has been fairing at historical lows over the past few months and this had created a climate of widespread anxiety among dry bulk shipowners as there are limited hints of a recovery in the short-term.
With current cape spot market rates being significantly below OPEX levels, it seems that the patience of many Cape owners has finally begun to run out. As a result, they are left with a few options on how to proceed. There are two value-maximizing (or rather loss-minimizing) options; one is of course scrapping the vessel, almost certainly at a loss compared to the initial capital investment. With the scrap market revolving predominantly around bulk carriers and container vessels during the past weeks, it seems that many owners have selected this option.
On the other hand, some of the largest European Capesize players have selected the alternative route of parking their capes. A number of them have selected Kaohsiung, Taiwan as the ideal place to park their capes until rates pick up from the current depressing rates. Eastern Pacific has reportedly parked a number of their capes in anchorages (favoring the Kaohsiung anchorage).
Navios is also reported to have alluded to following the same route even going as far as suggesting that cold layups are the next step in order to cut what costs they can. The effects of such decisions on the market are hard to predict unless they are followed by a bigger number of owners, therefore for now it is expected that there will be a minor and more importantly temporary (lasting only until they’re back in the market) support in the market.
How sustainable will this strategy be? While the larger owners (many of whom have diversified fleets, thus hedging their exposure to the dry market troubles) may be able to sustain themselves long enough to survive through the current market slump, smaller players and those primarily invested in the cape segments will most definitely have trouble surviving where the situation is to persist for long.
With current conditions pushing more and more vessels out of the market, owners are awaiting Q2 in order to decide on their future moves. While short-term prospects are dire, the Indian coal market together with the Chinese steel import market, are possible candidates to partially help in the medium-long term recovery/ revival of the dry market sector.
As always, the amount of new orders that will be placed during the next quarters will play a determining role in the segment’s recovery, but given how quiet the newbuilding market for Capes has been since the summer of 2014, we believe that this should currently be the least of our worries.
By Linos Kogevinas
Marketing - Harbour Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 12 November 14
PANAMAX: WITNESSED A FAIRLY STABLE MARKET IN THE ATLANTIC
COALspot.com: Despite the fact that the Dry Bulk market noted another weekly increase, clouds of uncertainty returned mid-week onwards, as the mini ...
Wednesday, 12 November 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER T. WHITTY
COALspot.com: The fight continues between the low-cost iron ore producers and the big three: Vale, Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton. We are moving into a ...
Tuesday, 11 November 14
FACING CHALLENGES AND MEETING OPPORTUNITIES - INTERNATIONAL EPC CONFERENCE & EXHIBITION
Press Release: SKYCONNECTION and TRANSEVENT, which is fully supported by the Institution of Engineers Indonesia and Ministry of Industry of the Rep ...
Tuesday, 11 November 14
NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 52.65 FOR Q1' 15 DELIVERY
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery decreased US$ 2.83 (-5.10%) month over month and US$ 1.35 (-2.50%) week ove ...
Tuesday, 11 November 14
PORT OF NEWCASTLE'S OCTOBER COAL SHIPMENTS SLIPPED 7.40% M-O-M
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port, has shipped $1,115.7 mil ...
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- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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