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Wednesday, 18 March 15
PARKING THE CAPES - LINOS KOGEVINAS
 It is no secret that recent times have been anything but kind towards shipping, and no sector has suffered more lately than the dry bulk one. While we have seen various correctional signals for the wet sector (especially for the MR and VLCC segments), the dry market has had very few reasons to be hopeful. The BDI has been fairing at historical lows over the past few months and this had created a climate of widespread anxiety among dry bulk shipowners as there are limited hints of a recovery in the short-term.
With current cape spot market rates being significantly below OPEX levels, it seems that the patience of many Cape owners has finally begun to run out. As a result, they are left with a few options on how to proceed. There are two value-maximizing (or rather loss-minimizing) options; one is of course scrapping the vessel, almost certainly at a loss compared to the initial capital investment. With the scrap market revolving predominantly around bulk carriers and container vessels during the past weeks, it seems that many owners have selected this option.
On the other hand, some of the largest European Capesize players have selected the alternative route of parking their capes. A number of them have selected Kaohsiung, Taiwan as the ideal place to park their capes until rates pick up from the current depressing rates. Eastern Pacific has reportedly parked a number of their capes in anchorages (favoring the Kaohsiung anchorage).
Navios is also reported to have alluded to following the same route even going as far as suggesting that cold layups are the next step in order to cut what costs they can. The effects of such decisions on the market are hard to predict unless they are followed by a bigger number of owners, therefore for now it is expected that there will be a minor and more importantly temporary (lasting only until they’re back in the market) support in the market.
How sustainable will this strategy be? While the larger owners (many of whom have diversified fleets, thus hedging their exposure to the dry market troubles) may be able to sustain themselves long enough to survive through the current market slump, smaller players and those primarily invested in the cape segments will most definitely have trouble surviving where the situation is to persist for long.
With current conditions pushing more and more vessels out of the market, owners are awaiting Q2 in order to decide on their future moves. While short-term prospects are dire, the Indian coal market together with the Chinese steel import market, are possible candidates to partially help in the medium-long term recovery/ revival of the dry market sector.
As always, the amount of new orders that will be placed during the next quarters will play a determining role in the segment’s recovery, but given how quiet the newbuilding market for Capes has been since the summer of 2014, we believe that this should currently be the least of our worries.
By Linos Kogevinas
Marketing - Harbour Towage & Port Agency
Cotzias Intermodal Shipping Inc.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms. Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 16 March 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS: DECLINED
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 2.48 per MT (-4.77%) month over month and US$ 0.93 (-1.84%) we ...
Monday, 16 March 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA THERMAL COAL SWAP DECLINED 3.74% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 2.17 (-3.74%) per MT month over month and US$ 0.67 (-1 ...
Sunday, 15 March 15
BDI DECLINED LESSER THAN 1% WEEK OVER WEEK; INDO-INDIA FIRM
COALspot.com: The most of indices, including bulk dry index were falling this week. The BDI has been down by just 0.53 points and closing at 562 po ...
Saturday, 14 March 15
CAPESIZE DRY BULKERS TO AVERAGE BETWEEN $3,000 AND $9,000/DAY IN THE COMING WEEKS SAYS BIMCO
BIMCO issued its latest short-term estimates for the dry bulk market. For March/May: BIMCO assesses that the Capesize time charter (T/C) average ra ...
Friday, 13 March 15
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION UP 2.3% WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.5 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PTC India Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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